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2019-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 25.9% 74.1% -
Bradley-Terry 52.8% 47.2% -
Margin 33.3% 66.7% +3.8 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 64.0% 36.0% -
Efficiency 83.1% 16.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.6% 14.4% -
Log Adjusted 85.6% 14.4% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +2 (77-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Herro * 35 4-12 2-6 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 12 2 -
A. Hagans * 33 5-10 0-0 2-2 3 6 3 0 2 12 12 -
P.J. Washington * 31 4-10 0-3 7-8 7 1 1 0 1 15 13 -
K. Johnson * 30 5-10 1-3 2-2 7 4 3 0 1 13 16 -
R. Travis * 29 6-13 0-2 0-1 6 1 0 0 5 12 1 -
I. Quickley 15 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 8 4 -
N. Richards 13 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 1 0 1 6 -
E. Montgomery 8 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
J. Baker 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lewis Jr. * 34 4-14 2-6 2-2 2 3 0 0 4 12 -1 -
D. Ingram * 30 2-7 1-2 6-6 4 4 0 0 5 11 7 -
D. Hall * 30 5-7 0-0 1-3 10 0 0 0 1 11 13 -
T. Mack * 29 8-12 6-8 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 22 14 -
H. Jones * 23 4-4 0-0 2-2 8 6 0 0 0 10 20 -
J. Petty Jr. 16 2-5 0-3 2-4 1 0 0 2 2 6 2 -
R. Norris 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
A. Reese 13 2-6 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 5 3 -
G. Smith 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
A. Johnson Jr. 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter