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2019-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 16.3% 83.7% -
Bradley-Terry 44.1% 55.9% -
Margin 13.9% 86.1% +10.0 (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 55.0% 45.0% -
Efficiency 51.4% 48.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.8% 51.2% -
Log Adjusted 48.6% 51.4% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +4 (83-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Weatherspoon * 34 6-13 1-6 1-2 5 1 3 0 4 14 6 -
L. Peters * 33 6-19 0-6 2-2 0 4 2 0 3 14 -2 -
A. Holman * 30 5-11 1-1 1-3 8 2 1 0 2 12 10 -
A. Ado * 27 0-0 0-0 3-5 7 0 0 3 1 3 12 -
N. Weatherspoon * 14 3-6 0-1 1-2 4 1 1 0 1 7 6 -
T. Carter 25 1-6 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 1 -
R. Perry 20 9-12 0-1 0-2 7 0 0 2 1 18 14 -
R. Woodard 15 2-4 1-2 2-4 7 1 1 1 1 7 12 -
K. Feazell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lewis Jr. * 32 4-9 0-2 1-2 3 3 2 1 5 9 4 -
D. Ingram * 24 2-4 0-0 3-4 2 1 2 0 1 7 7 -
D. Hall * 23 7-9 0-0 5-9 7 2 1 2 1 19 21 -
T. Mack * 22 3-7 0-2 0-2 8 1 0 3 1 6 10 -
H. Jones * 18 3-5 0-0 2-5 2 2 0 3 0 8 10 -
R. Norris 27 3-7 0-4 5-6 5 1 0 0 0 11 10 -
J. Petty Jr. 23 4-9 1-4 4-4 3 1 1 0 3 13 6 -
A. Reese 12 0-0 0-0 1-3 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
G. Smith 11 3-6 0-0 1-1 3 0 1 0 0 7 5 -
A. Johnson Jr. 8 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

* = starter