Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 13.3% | 86.7% | +10.3 | ✗ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -5 (69-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Smart * | 39 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| S. Mays * | 38 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| N. Reid * | 30 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| K. Bigby-Williams * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Taylor * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Waters | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| D. Days | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| E. Williams | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lewis Jr. * | 38 | 3-16 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -4 | - |
| J. Petty Jr. * | 38 | 6-13 | 5-9 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| D. Hall * | 31 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| T. Mack * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Ingram * | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4 | - |
| R. Norris | 32 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| H. Jones | 25 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| D. Giddens | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Smith | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Johnson Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter