🐻⬇️🏀

Alabama State

Also known as: Alabama State Hornets
Program History

2025 Team Stats (12 games)

73.2
PPG
77.4
Opp
-2.7
Margin
40.2%
FG%
31.0%
3P%
67.2%
FT%
35.8
RPG
11.8
APG
9.7
TO
82.0
Pace
68.7
AdjO
76.5
AdjD
#277
Rank

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1153 (#71) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 926 (#235) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -7.1 (#270) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.468 (#195) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → 0.468 (#199) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.2 More → 0.236 (#274) AdjNet -10.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.4 More → 0.232 (#276) AdjNet -10.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 76.5 More → 0.330 (#277) AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 76.5

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-10 @ LSU Tigers L 61 - 74
2024-11-18 vs Virginia-Lynchburg Dragons W 115 - 64
2024-11-22 vs Omaha Mavericks W 85 - 67
2024-11-23 vs Lamar Cardinals W 77 - 75
2024-11-24 @ Akron Zips L 78 - 97
2024-11-27 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 59 - 77
2024-12-03 @ SMU Mustangs L 72 - 101
2024-12-05 @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles L 64 - 81
2024-12-11 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 103 - 93
2024-12-19 @ Norfolk State Spartans L 54 - 71
2024-12-20 vs Delaware State Hornets L 80 - 83
2024-12-30 @ Missouri Tigers L 65 - 82
2025-01-04 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 84 - 55
2025-01-13 @ Alcorn State Braves L 65 - 67
2025-03-18 vs Saint Francis Red Flash W 70 - 68
2025-03-20 @ Auburn Tigers L 63 - 83

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
CJ Hines CJ Hines - 15 28.3 14.7 2.8 2.7 1.0 0.1 1.7 12.7 6.9 -75 -2.7 -3.4 41.9 35.7 68.9 -0.03 52.4 49.7
A. Knox A. Knox - 16 29.1 14.4 1.7 2.2 1.8 0.1 1.3 12.7 6.1 -167 -4.6 -7.3 42.9 31.7 71.2 -0.11 50.9 47.5
TJ Madlock TJ Madlock - 14 26.8 10.4 5.5 2.1 1.1 0.3 1.6 8.7 9.1 - - - 36.9 23.1 71.4 - 47.8 39.3
M. Simpson M. Simpson - 16 18.6 8.0 2.0 1.3 0.9 0.1 0.7 7.1 4.6 -55 -2.3 -7.7 37.2 34.6 85.0 -0.06 52.5 49.1
T. Mack T. Mack - 16 17.7 6.2 1.9 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 5.2 3.4 -18 -0.8 -2.5 40.5 39.5 50.0 -0.01 58.3 58.3
S. Fulcher S. Fulcher - 14 11.1 5.6 0.9 1.5 0.6 0.0 0.9 3.9 3.9 -28 -1.3 -7.1 53.7 37.5 66.7 -0.17 61.7 59.3
J. Walker J. Walker - 16 18.2 5.1 3.9 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.2 4.9 5.1 -61 -2.3 -5.3 38.5 33.3 55.0 0.1 47.2 45.5
M. Octave M. Octave - 9 22.2 4.9 4.9 0.8 1.2 0.2 0.8 4.4 6.8 -33 -1.2 -2.3 45.0 31.8 16.7 0.65 51.6 53.8
J. Kaego J. Kaego - 12 12.8 4.9 1.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 3.5 3.2 - - - 45.2 34.6 75.0 - 60.2 56.0
D. Bass D. Bass - 16 13.6 4.0 3.1 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.6 4.2 3.9 -16 -0.6 -1.6 35.3 17.5 60.0 0.77 42.9 40.4
U. Okon U. Okon - 16 14.5 1.9 3.4 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.6 4.1 -124 -3.5 -7.8 46.2 0 50.0 -0.18 48.2 46.2
M. Andrews M. Andrews - 8 15.5 1.4 4.8 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.5 1.5 5.8 12 6.0 25.9 25.0 0 55.6 -0.72 34.5 25.0
J. Marshall J. Marshall - 2 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 -1 -1.0 -15.6 100.0 0 0 -1.51 100.0 100.0
K. Parker K. Parker G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 59 2.7 8.3 - - - 0.38 - -
S. Smith S. Smith G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
K. Alabi K. Alabi F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
J. Stanback J. Stanback F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG