Model Predictions
| Model | Delaware State Hornets | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.0% | 74.0% | +5.7 | ✗ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets -3 (80-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Delaware State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Robinson | 40 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 18 | +2.5 |
| R. Smith | 38 | 9-15 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Kas. Watson | 36 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| C. Perkins | 28 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +2.2 |
| M. Newton | 27 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +1.6 |
| A. Andrews | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| K. Watson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Somerville | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2.8 |
| C. Surgers | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. James | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Hines | 35 | 10-18 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 15 | -1.9 |
| A. Knox | 35 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | +0.2 |
| M. Simpson | 24 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +3.0 |
| M. Octave | 24 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -7.4 |
| TJ Madlock | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| U. Okon | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -5.5 |
| J. Kaego | 18 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| T. Mack | 18 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | -0.5 |
| D. Bass | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| J. Walker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter