Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.1% | 99.9% | +36.9 | ✓ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +20 (83-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Knox | 33 | 8-18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | -9.1 |
| CJ Hines | 29 | 3-15 | 1-8 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -3 | -11.3 |
| TJ Madlock | 28 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J. Walker | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +0.3 |
| D. Bass | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | -14.7 |
| U. Okon | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -9.9 |
| M. Octave | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +6.0 |
| T. Mack | 12 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -6.2 |
| S. Fulcher | 9 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | -2.6 |
| M. Simpson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.9 |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Jones | 31 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | +10.3 |
| M. Kelly | 29 | 8-16 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 10 | +13.1 |
| T. Pettiford | 28 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | +21.0 |
| C. Johnson | 28 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | +19.6 |
| J. Broome | 27 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 4-9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | +10.6 |
| C. Baker-Mazara | 24 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Dy. Cardwell | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | +6.6 |
| J. Hudson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -12.8 |
| C. Moore | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
| B. Muschalek | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3.0 |
| J. Howard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter