Model Predictions
| Model | UT Martin Skyhawks | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | +4.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets +10 (103-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Martin Skyhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Žužić | 39 | 6-11 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | -13.5 |
| T. Guinyard | 35 | 10-17 | 1-3 | 10-14 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 24 | -3.0 |
| V. Salaridze | 33 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -21.1 |
| A. Bukumirović | 31 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 15 | -4.1 |
| A. Trnka | 31 | 6-15 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 3 | +5.9 |
| C. Cortijo | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +8.0 |
| J. Grullon | 14 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2.0 |
| S. Faloppa | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -11.1 |
| L. Niang | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -4.9 |
| F. Radaković | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Hines | 40 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 21 | +8.8 |
| M. Octave | 33 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +8.9 |
| A. Knox | 30 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 16 | -2.1 |
| T. Mack | 29 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | +18.3 |
| M. Simpson | 27 | 7-13 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | -12.5 |
| J. Walker | 27 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -2.7 |
| U. Okon | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +13.6 |
| S. Fulcher | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +4.9 |
| D. Bass | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| J. Kaego | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter