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2024-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Alabama State Hornets Cincinnati Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 53.1% 46.9% -
Bradley-Terry 23.1% 76.9% -
Margin 1.4% 98.6% +23.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 37.2% 62.8% -
Efficiency 37.3% 62.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 9.9% 90.1% -

Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +18 (77-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Knox * 36 9-20 2-7 4-5 5 2 4 0 1 24 14 -9.9
TJ Madlock * 31 1-11 0-1 4-4 3 5 2 1 2 6 4 -
M. Simpson * 22 1-8 1-6 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 -1 -6.4
U. Okon * 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 2 8 +5.0
D. Bass * 14 1-6 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 -5.8
T. Mack 21 2-5 1-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 5 6 -13.6
S. Fulcher 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 0 -12.1
J. Kaego 16 3-6 3-5 3-3 1 0 0 0 1 12 6 -
J. Walker 16 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -9.6
M. Andrews 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 3 -16.7

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Lukosius * 27 6-15 4-10 0-0 4 4 0 0 2 16 7 +17.2
C. Hickman * 24 0-6 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 -3 +13.8
J. James * 22 5-9 2-5 1-2 8 5 2 0 2 13 17 +16.1
A. Bandaogo * 21 5-8 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 1 0 10 15 +20.9
D. Mitchell * 18 5-7 0-1 0-5 8 2 1 0 0 10 14 +6.8
T. Betsey 22 2-5 1-4 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 5 6 +0.3
A. Page 17 3-4 0-0 1-1 2 0 2 2 1 7 8 -3.4
J. Reed 17 2-4 0-1 2-2 6 0 0 0 0 6 8 +14.6
D. Thomas 13 3-6 3-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 4 9 3 -1.2
R. Griffith 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -8.2
CJ Fredrick Jr. 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +7.9
H. Dzellat 2 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 -

* = starter