Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Norfolk State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.3% | 81.7% | +8.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Norfolk State Spartans +17 (71-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Knox | 29 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | -17.3 |
| CJ Hines | 26 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | -12.3 |
| TJ Madlock | 25 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 8-11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 12 | - |
| M. Octave | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -17.1 |
| J. Walker | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -0.2 |
| T. Mack | 22 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | -17.2 |
| U. Okon | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -6.1 |
| M. Simpson | 18 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6 | +0.9 |
| D. Bass | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.0 |
| S. Fulcher | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 |
Norfolk State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ings | 30 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| J. Myers | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | +17.3 |
| J. Darden | 26 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +23.5 |
| B. Moore Jr. | 26 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 8 | +16.2 |
| T. Jones | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +14.2 |
| K. Mading | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +5.1 |
| S. McMahon | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3.2 |
| C. Fields Jr. | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +5.1 |
| T. Bladen | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -3.8 |
| M. Baines | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +6.0 |
| J. Leaks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter