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Alabama State Hornets 65
@
Alcorn State Braves 67
2025-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Alabama State Hornets Alcorn State Braves Spread Result
Elo 80.3% 19.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 54.2% 45.8% - ✗
Margin 58.4% 41.6% -1.9 ✗ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 63.7% 36.3% - ✗
Efficiency 63.7% 36.3% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 70.5% 29.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 70.6% 29.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 54.7% 45.3% - ✗

Actual: Alcorn State Braves +2 (67-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Knox 34 3-11 1-4 4-6 2 4 2 0 2 11 6 +1.2
TJ Madlock 28 2-6 1-3 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
CJ Hines 27 5-12 3-7 0-0 4 3 0 0 4 13 4 -2.4
U. Okon 23 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 1 1 0 6 -2.2
D. Bass 19 2-7 0-2 1-2 6 1 0 1 0 5 6 +0.0
M. Simpson 16 2-7 2-7 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 8 2 -7.2
T. Mack 16 3-8 2-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 8 2 -0.7
J. Walker 11 3-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 7 5 +5.0
M. Octave 10 0-2 0-2 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +3.2
S. Fulcher 10 2-3 1-2 2-3 1 1 0 0 0 7 6 +3.2
J. Kaego 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Pajeaud 31 3-5 0-0 3-3 4 4 2 1 4 9 11 +8.2
D. Williams 27 4-9 2-6 1-2 3 2 1 0 2 11 6 -3.6
J. Gaines-Wyatt 27 3-7 1-3 6-6 1 2 1 0 0 13 10 +2.0
M. Tankersley 25 3-7 0-1 7-8 6 0 2 0 2 13 12 -3.9
D. Binet 23 2-7 0-0 6-6 4 0 0 1 1 10 7 -1.1
K. Foman 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 2 7 +5.1
J. Lual 17 2-4 2-4 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 7 6 +2.0
J. Mitchell 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 +1.1
O. Hamilton 11 1-4 0-2 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -0.1
C. Butler 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.2

* = starter