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Xavier

Also known as: Xavier Musketeers, Xavier
Program History

2015 Team Stats (13 games)

68.9
PPG
64.8
Opp
+4.2
Margin
46.8%
FG%
36.4%
3P%
74.4%
FT%
33.3
RPG
14.0
APG
11.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
75.4
Adj PPG
61.8
Adj Opp PPG
#21
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1342 (#17) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1203 (#38) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More โ†’ 1101 (#47) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +14.7 (#21) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +13.9 (#15) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.726 (#52) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +22.2 More โ†’ 0.929 (#22) AdjNet +22.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +22.5 More โ†’ 0.930 (#22) AdjNet +22.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 61.8 More โ†’ 0.775 (#21) AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 61.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 61.4 More โ†’ 0.693 (#18) AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 61.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.837 (#19) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.825 (#19) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 93 | GP 37 More โ†’ 1263 (#24) RD 93 | GP 37

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 93 - 60
2014-11-18 vs Long Beach State Beach W 97 - 74
2014-11-21 vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks W 81 - 63
2014-11-24 vs Murray State Racers W 89 - 62
2014-11-27 vs San Diego Toreros W 82 - 71
2014-11-28 vs UTEP Miners L 73 - 77
2014-11-30 @ Long Beach State Beach L 70 - 73
2014-12-06 vs Alabama Crimson Tide W 97 - 84
2014-12-09 vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 66 - 43
2014-12-13 @ Missouri Tigers W 74 - 58
2014-12-20 @ Auburn Tigers L 88 - 89
2014-12-28 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 71 - 57
2014-12-31 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 70 - 53
2015-01-03 @ DePaul Blue Demons L 68 - 71
2015-01-07 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 69 - 58
2015-01-10 @ Butler Bulldogs L 76 - 88
2015-01-14 @ Villanova Wildcats L 75 - 88
2015-01-17 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 62 - 58
2015-01-22 @ Providence Friars L 66 - 69
2015-01-24 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 89 - 76
2015-01-27 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 66 - 53
2015-01-31 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 82 - 90
2015-02-04 vs Creighton Bluejays L 72 - 79
2015-02-07 vs Providence Friars W 78 - 69
2015-02-10 @ Marquette Golden Eagles W 64 - 44
2015-02-14 vs St. John's Red Storm L 70 - 78
2015-02-18 @ Cincinnati Bearcats W 59 - 57
2015-02-21 vs Butler Bulldogs W 73 - 56
2015-02-23 @ St. John's Red Storm L 57 - 58
2015-02-28 vs Villanova Wildcats L 66 - 78
2015-03-07 @ Creighton Bluejays W 74 - 73
2015-03-12 @ Butler Bulldogs W 67 - 61
2015-03-13 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 65 - 63
2015-03-14 @ Villanova Wildcats L 52 - 69
2015-03-19 vs Ole Miss Rebels W 76 - 57
2015-03-21 vs Georgia State Panthers W 75 - 67
2015-03-26 @ Arizona Wildcats L 60 - 68

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Matt Stainbrook Matt Stainbrook C 32 26.7 12.3 7.0 2.5 0.6 0.7 2.1 3.8 17.1 127 30 4.2 6.9 56.6 0.0 82.0 6.45 132.7 56.6
Myles Davis Myles Davis G 31 26.9 10.9 2.3 2.1 0.9 0.0 1.3 4.2 10.6 102 29 3.5 5.6 36.6 38.3 90.5 2.16 106.2 48.5
Trevon Bluiett Trevon Bluiett G 32 28.6 10.8 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.1 1.3 4.7 11.8 30 30 1.0 1.5 36.0 31.4 72.4 -0.51 98.8 43.3
Jalen Reynolds Jalen Reynolds F 32 21.2 10.2 6.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.1 4.1 13.2 56 30 1.9 4.0 64.9 0 72.0 2.39 106.2 64.9
Dee Davis Dee Davis G 32 33.1 9.1 2.5 6.0 1.3 0.0 2.5 4.2 12.2 90 30 3.0 3.9 43.0 30.9 73.3 2.58 90.5 49.3
Remy Abell Remy Abell G 32 27.8 8.7 2.1 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.8 3.6 8.2 44 30 1.5 2.3 46.6 45.1 71.8 -1.08 104.4 56.5
J.P. Macura J.P. Macura G 29 13.6 5.5 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.9 2.2 4.9 -3 28 -0.1 -0.3 42.9 40.0 61.5 -2.48 116.4 57.1
James Farr James Farr F 32 15.3 4.0 5.2 0.5 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.8 7.8 -4 30 -0.1 -0.4 45.8 27.8 57.1 -1.19 99.0 50.0
Brandon Randolph Brandon Randolph G 19 9.6 1.6 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.9 2.8 16 17 0.9 4.2 41.2 50.0 25.0 -1.28 82.6 50.0
Sean O'Mara Sean O'Mara F 22 4.0 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 2.3 15 17 0.9 8.9 37.5 0 50.0 1.6 174.2 37.5
Edmond Sumner Edmond Sumner - 4 6.0 1.0 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.8 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 75.0 -1.88 113.6 0
Larry Austin Larry Austin G 20 5.1 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.9 -60 19 -3.2 -30.2 14.3 0 0 -6.7 92.9 14.3
Kevin Coker Kevin Coker F 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.87 0 0
Tim Stainbrook Tim Stainbrook F 3 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -2.06 0.0 0.0
Andrew Mitchell Andrew Mitchell G 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.87 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG