Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.8% | 73.2% | +5.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +17 (73-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Jones * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
| A. Barlow * | 31 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| K. Woods * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| T. Wideman * | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| K. Dunham * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| K. Martin | 24 | 3-14 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -2 | - |
| A. Etherington | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Davis | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Aldridge | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Bennett | 3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Davis * | 30 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| T. Bluiett * | 26 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| R. Abell * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Davis * | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Stainbrook * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Reynolds | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| J.P. Macura | 17 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| L. Austin Jr. | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Farr | 11 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| S. O'Mara | 9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Randolph | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Mitchell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Coker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Stainbrook | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter