Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.5% | 80.5% | +7.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +18 (81-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Walkup * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 28 | - |
| Jacob Parker * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Trey Pinkney * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Clide Geffrard * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Dallas Cameron * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Ty Charles | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Tanner Clayton | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Justin Dotson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Demetrious Floyd | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Connor Brooks | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bobby King | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jared Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevon Bluiett * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Remy Abell * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Dee Davis * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 21 | - |
| Matt Stainbrook * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 26 | - |
| James Farr * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Myles Davis | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Jalen Reynolds | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Randolph | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| J.P. Macura | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
* = starter