Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.0% | 51.0% | +0.2 | ✗ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs -6 (61-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Davis * | 42 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| T. Bluiett * | 35 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 3-7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Stainbrook * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | - |
| R. Abell * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J.P. Macura * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| M. Davis | 29 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| J. Farr | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Reynolds | 16 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| L. Austin Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. O'Mara | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Jones * | 44 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Dunham * | 37 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 2 | - |
| A. Chrabascz * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| A. Barlow * | 34 | 7-16 | 5-14 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| K. Woods * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - |
| K. Martin | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Etherington | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Wideman | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter