Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.4% | 86.6% | +10.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +13 (88-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dee Davis * | 36 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Trevon Bluiett * | 35 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Matt Stainbrook * | 26 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| J.P. Macura * | 23 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Larry Austin * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Reynolds | 21 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Myles Davis | 18 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| James Farr | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Remy Abell | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Arcidiacono * | 34 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Darrun Hilliard * | 31 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Dylan Ennis * | 28 | 6-13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| JayVaughn Pinkston * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Daniel Ochefu * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Josh Hart | 25 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Kris Jenkins | 21 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Phil Booth | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
* = starter