Wisconsin
2015 Team Stats (31 games)
72.7
PPG
57.9
Opp
+14.8
Margin
48.5%
FG%
36.8%
3P%
76.3%
FT%
33.2
RPG
12.1
APG
7.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.5
Adj PPG
52.8
Adj Opp PPG
#3
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2014-2015
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1575 (#1) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1450 (#3) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1291 (#2) | HCA +90 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +23.0 (#3) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +22.4 (#4) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.926 (#6) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.986 (#2) | AdjNet +36.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.986 (#2) | AdjNet +37.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.878 (#3) | AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 52.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.818 (#4) | AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 56.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.945 (#2) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.940 (#2) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1504 (#2) | RD 86 | GP 40 |
2015 Schedule & Results
2015 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Frank Kaminsky
|
F | 38 | 33.6 | 18.8 | 8.2 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 10.0 | 20.4 | 379 | 32 | 11.8 | 15.7 | 55.4 | 40.3 | 79.2 | 6.96 | 80.0 | 59.2 |
Sam Dekker
|
F | 39 | 31.2 | 14.1 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 8.3 | 12.7 | 357 | 33 | 10.8 | 15.5 | 51.6 | 32.0 | 72.0 | 4.15 | 75.9 | 57.6 |
N. Hayes-Davis
|
F | 39 | 33.2 | 12.6 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 6.8 | 14.1 | 325 | 33 | 9.8 | 13.5 | 49.8 | 41.2 | 76.5 | 1.57 | 75.4 | 56.0 |
Bronson Koenig
|
G | 39 | 28.9 | 8.8 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 5.5 | 7.1 | 226 | 33 | 6.8 | 10.4 | 44.7 | 44.3 | 83.9 | -0.86 | 72.0 | 57.2 |
Traevon Jackson
|
G | 20 | 23.7 | 7.3 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 4.1 | 7.1 | 188 | 17 | 11.1 | 22.3 | 42.7 | 27.3 | 76.9 | 3.9 | 78.1 | 46.3 |
Josh Gasser
|
G | 39 | 32.9 | 6.6 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 3.7 | 8.6 | 333 | 33 | 10.1 | 13.8 | 44.1 | 38.1 | 78.7 | 1.65 | 76.0 | 58.0 |
Duje Dukan
|
F | 37 | 15.9 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 4.2 | 87 | 31 | 2.8 | 8.1 | 36.8 | 31.1 | 67.6 | -0.95 | 61.9 | 46.0 |
Zak Showalter
|
G | 35 | 7.6 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 27 | 29 | 0.9 | 5.6 | 40.5 | 20.0 | 94.1 | -0.7 | 80.9 | 43.2 |
Vitto Brown
|
F | 33 | 6.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3 | 28 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 41.0 | 0 | 66.7 | -1.52 | 65.5 | 41.0 |
Riley Dearring
|
G | 15 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | -3 | 10 | -0.3 | -4.0 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 0.0 | -1.7 | 73.9 | 57.1 |
Aaron Moesch
|
F | 14 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | -9 | 10 | -0.9 | -16.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.31 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Matt Ferris
|
G | 9 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | -9 | 6 | -1.5 | -30.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.39 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Jordan Smith
|
G | 14 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -0.4 | -9 | 11 | -0.8 | -12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.85 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG