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Wisconsin

Also known as: Wisconsin Badgers, Wisconsin
Program History
Coach: Bo Ryan

2015 Team Stats (31 games)

72.7
PPG
57.9
Opp
+14.8
Margin
48.5%
FG%
36.8%
3P%
76.3%
FT%
33.2
RPG
12.1
APG
7.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.5
Adj PPG
52.8
Adj Opp PPG
#3
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1575 (#1) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1450 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More โ†’ 1291 (#2) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +23.0 (#3) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +22.4 (#4) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.926 (#6) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +36.5 More โ†’ 0.986 (#2) AdjNet +36.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +37.0 More โ†’ 0.986 (#2) AdjNet +37.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 52.8 More โ†’ 0.878 (#3) AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 52.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 56.6 More โ†’ 0.818 (#4) AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 56.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.945 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.940 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 86 | GP 40 More โ†’ 1504 (#2) RD 86 | GP 40

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 vs Northern Kentucky Norse W 62 - 31
2014-11-16 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 89 - 45
2014-11-19 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 84 - 60
2014-11-22 vs Boise State Broncos W 78 - 54
2014-11-26 vs UAB Blazers W 72 - 43
2014-11-27 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 68 - 65
2014-11-28 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 69 - 56
2014-12-03 vs Duke Blue Devils L 70 - 80
2014-12-06 @ Marquette Golden Eagles W 49 - 38
2014-12-10 @ Milwaukee Panthers W 93 - 54
2014-12-13 vs Nicholls Colonels W 86 - 43
2014-12-22 @ California Golden Bears W 68 - 56
2014-12-28 vs Buffalo Bulls W 68 - 56
2014-12-31 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 89 - 72
2015-01-04 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 81 - 58
2015-01-07 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 62 - 55
2015-01-11 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 62 - 67
2015-01-15 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 70 - 55
2015-01-20 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 82 - 50
2015-01-24 @ Michigan Wolverines W 69 - 64
2015-01-31 @ Iowa Hawkeyes W 74 - 63
2015-02-03 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 92 - 78
2015-02-07 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 65 - 50
2015-02-10 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers W 65 - 55
2015-02-15 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 68 - 49
2015-02-18 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 55 - 47
2015-02-21 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 63 - 53
2015-02-24 @ Maryland Terrapins L 53 - 59
2015-03-01 vs Michigan State Spartans W 68 - 61
2015-03-05 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers W 76 - 63
2015-03-08 @ Ohio State Buckeyes W 72 - 48
2015-03-13 vs Michigan Wolverines W 71 - 60
2015-03-14 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 71 - 51
2015-03-15 vs Michigan State Spartans W 80 - 69
2015-03-20 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 86 - 72
2015-03-22 vs Oregon Ducks W 72 - 65
2015-03-26 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 79 - 72
2015-03-28 vs Arizona Wildcats W 85 - 78
2015-04-04 @ Kentucky Wildcats W 71 - 64
2015-04-06 @ Duke Blue Devils L 63 - 68

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Frank Kaminsky Frank Kaminsky F 38 33.6 18.8 8.2 2.7 0.9 1.5 1.6 10.0 20.4 379 32 11.8 15.7 55.4 40.3 79.2 6.96 80.0 59.2
Sam Dekker Sam Dekker F 39 31.2 14.1 5.5 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.9 8.3 12.7 357 33 10.8 15.5 51.6 32.0 72.0 4.15 75.9 57.6
N. Hayes-Davis N. Hayes-Davis F 39 33.2 12.6 6.3 2.0 0.8 0.4 1.3 6.8 14.1 325 33 9.8 13.5 49.8 41.2 76.5 1.57 75.4 56.0
Bronson Koenig Bronson Koenig G 39 28.9 8.8 1.7 2.5 0.2 0.2 0.8 5.5 7.1 226 33 6.8 10.4 44.7 44.3 83.9 -0.86 72.0 57.2
Traevon Jackson Traevon Jackson G 20 23.7 7.3 1.7 2.6 0.9 0.1 1.5 4.1 7.1 188 17 11.1 22.3 42.7 27.3 76.9 3.9 78.1 46.3
Josh Gasser Josh Gasser G 39 32.9 6.6 3.5 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.5 3.7 8.6 333 33 10.1 13.8 44.1 38.1 78.7 1.65 76.0 58.0
Duje Dukan Duje Dukan F 37 15.9 4.7 2.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.6 3.4 4.2 87 31 2.8 8.1 36.8 31.1 67.6 -0.95 61.9 46.0
Zak Showalter Zak Showalter G 35 7.6 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 1.1 3.0 27 29 0.9 5.6 40.5 20.0 94.1 -0.7 80.9 43.2
Vitto Brown Vitto Brown F 33 6.3 1.8 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.1 3 28 0.1 0.8 41.0 0 66.7 -1.52 65.5 41.0
Riley Dearring Riley Dearring G 15 2.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.3 -3 10 -0.3 -4.0 42.9 50.0 0.0 -1.7 73.9 57.1
Aaron Moesch Aaron Moesch F 14 2.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 -9 10 -0.9 -16.6 33.3 0.0 0 -2.31 33.3 33.3
Matt Ferris Matt Ferris G 9 1.9 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 -9 6 -1.5 -30.3 33.3 0.0 0 -2.39 33.3 33.3
Jordan Smith Jordan Smith G 14 2.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.4 -9 11 -0.8 -12.0 0.0 0.0 0 -1.85 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG