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2015-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 45.5% 54.5% -
Bradley-Terry 55.2% 44.8% -
Margin 37.0% 63.0% +2.9 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 27.8% 72.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.8% 93.2% -
Log Adjusted 6.9% 93.1% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +11 (71-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Irvin * 40 9-18 3-7 0-2 11 3 3 0 3 21 17 -
S. Albrecht * 40 4-9 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 10 2 -
A. Dawkins * 38 2-7 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 5 3 -
M. Abdur-Rahkman * 35 4-7 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 8 4 -
M. Bielfeldt * 21 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 1 0 4 6 -
R. Doyle 18 6-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 12 11 -
K. Chatman 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Donnal 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Hayes-Davis * 39 4-9 1-2 2-2 9 1 1 0 3 11 10 -
B. Koenig * 39 3-6 2-4 4-4 1 2 0 0 0 12 9 -
S. Dekker * 35 7-12 1-4 2-2 6 6 3 1 1 17 20 -
J. Gasser * 33 2-4 1-3 2-4 3 2 0 0 1 7 7 -
F. Kaminsky * 31 6-12 0-1 4-4 12 2 0 0 2 16 16 -
D. Dukan 16 3-8 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 8 2 -
Z. Showalter 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter