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2015-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 54.1% 45.9% -
Bradley-Terry 43.1% 56.9% -
Margin 35.9% 64.1% +3.2 (15.8 off)
Pythagorean 19.4% 80.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +19 (68-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hill * 37 5-9 2-3 3-4 2 0 0 0 2 15 6 -
N. Egwu * 37 3-7 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 1 6 8 -
K. Nunn * 36 2-10 0-2 3-4 3 0 0 0 4 7 -4 -
J. Tate * 21 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
L. Black * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Rice 30 4-12 1-5 1-1 3 1 2 0 0 10 4 -
A. Starks 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 2 3 -
A. Colbert 10 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
M. Morgan 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. La Tulip 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
R. Schmidt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Liss 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gasser * 38 1-5 0-3 1-1 4 2 1 0 0 3 5 -
B. Koenig * 37 6-10 3-5 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 15 12 -
F. Kaminsky * 35 11-16 0-0 1-3 11 1 1 0 0 23 20 -
S. Dekker * 34 5-9 0-2 0-2 4 2 3 0 1 10 9 -
N. Hayes-Davis * 34 4-7 2-2 4-5 4 2 1 0 2 14 12 -
D. Dukan 12 0-3 0-2 3-4 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
Z. Showalter 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
V. Brown 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Dearring 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter