William & Mary Tribe
2026 Team Stats (28 games)
60.7
PPG
60.6
Opp
+0.1
Margin
39.4%
FG%
28.3%
3P%
70.4%
FT%
36.3
RPG
14.6
APG
15.4
TO
79.7
Pace
57.3
AdjO
62.2
AdjD
#221
Rank
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 976 (#202) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1017 (#166) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1059 (#112) | HCA +113 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.0 (#222) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +11.1 (#186) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.521 (#161) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.470 (#180) | NetEff -0.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.304 (#225) | AdjNet -7.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.297 (#222) | AdjNet -7.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.392 (#221) | AdjO 57.3 | AdjD 62.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.561 (#159) | AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 57.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.712 (#194) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.689 (#187) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1078 (#155) | RD 127 | GP 28 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
C. Geddes
|
G | 28 | 34.0 | 13.9 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 15.2 | 4.1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 35.1 | 29.3 | 69.6 | 2.35 | 43.6 | 41.9 |
J. Sallman
|
C | 25 | 19.5 | 9.4 | 6.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 7.8 | 8.8 | 10 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 49.0 | 0.0 | 76.4 | -1.78 | 53.1 | 49.0 |
N. Fox
|
F | 28 | 26.0 | 9.0 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 7.6 | 7.6 | -37 | -1.7 | -2.4 | 47.9 | 0 | 58.3 | -1.13 | 50.6 | 47.9 |
M. Dance
|
G | 28 | 32.0 | 8.9 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 9.1 | 6.6 | -47 | -2.1 | -2.7 | 32.0 | 30.1 | 72.2 | -2.09 | 43.5 | 38.7 |
A. Mikeska
|
G | 28 | 29.6 | 6.2 | 5.0 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 4.4 | 10.9 | 14 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 47.6 | 30.8 | 83.0 | 3.59 | 59.8 | 54.0 |
K. Smith
|
G | 20 | 21.1 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 5.8 | 2.2 | 79 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 39.3 | 31.5 | 87.5 | 2.95 | 48.1 | 46.6 |
D. Pierce
|
G | 22 | 16.4 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 4.4 | 3.5 | -21 | -1.3 | -2.4 | 35.4 | 19.4 | 61.9 | 0.11 | 41.3 | 38.5 |
M. Long
|
F | 25 | 18.8 | 3.8 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 3.8 | -29 | -1.6 | -5.5 | 41.1 | 25.0 | 73.3 | -2.08 | 46.3 | 43.7 |
S. LeGoullon
|
G | 16 | 10.1 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 1.3 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 37.1 | 24.0 | 75.0 | -1.33 | 47.6 | 45.7 |
A. Gibson
|
G | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | 4 | 2.0 | 11.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.13 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
A. Mercado
|
G | 23 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | -17 | -1.2 | -7.5 | 34.4 | 28.6 | 94.1 | -1.61 | 53.2 | 40.6 |
A. Basit
|
F | 16 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.4 | -30 | -2.3 | -10.1 | 38.5 | 0 | 40.0 | -2.56 | 39.0 | 38.5 |
E. West
|
G | 7 | 6.7 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.9 | -0.3 | -13 | -2.6 | -20.2 | 15.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1.19 | 13.6 | 15.4 |
Jordyn Steindl
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
A. Dos Santos
|
F | 4 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | -1.8 | -12 | -4.0 | -123.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.51 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG