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William & Mary Tribe

Also known as: William & Mary Tribe
Program History

2026 Team Stats (28 games)

60.7
PPG
60.6
Opp
+0.1
Margin
39.4%
FG%
28.3%
3P%
70.4%
FT%
36.3
RPG
14.6
APG
15.4
TO
79.7
Pace
57.3
AdjO
62.2
AdjD
#221
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 976 (#202) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1017 (#166) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 1059 (#112) HCA +113 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -5.0 (#222) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +11.1 (#186) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.521 (#161) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -0.9 More → 0.470 (#180) NetEff -0.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.2 More → 0.304 (#225) AdjNet -7.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.5 More → 0.297 (#222) AdjNet -7.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.3 | AdjD 62.2 More → 0.392 (#221) AdjO 57.3 | AdjD 62.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 57.8 More → 0.561 (#159) AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 57.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.712 (#194) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.689 (#187) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 127 | GP 28 More → 1078 (#155) RD 127 | GP 28

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 @ Davidson Wildcats L 50 - 71
2025-11-09 vs Barton Bulldogs W 81 - 62
2025-11-12 vs Richmond Spiders L 58 - 84
2025-11-16 vs Old Dominion Monarchs L 53 - 56
2025-12-03 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 67 - 64
2025-12-07 @ American University Eagles W 73 - 60
2025-12-19 @ Stetson Hatters W 81 - 75
2025-12-20 @ Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 64 - 52
2026-01-02 @ North Carolina A&T Aggies W 60 - 49
2026-01-04 vs Stony Brook Seawolves L 57 - 73
2026-01-09 vs Charleston Cougars L 60 - 62
2026-01-11 @ Campbell Fighting Camels L 43 - 45
2026-01-16 vs Hampton Lady Pirates L 49 - 59
2026-01-23 @ Northeastern Huskies W 63 - 50
2026-01-25 @ Hofstra Pride W 55 - 37
2026-01-30 vs Campbell Fighting Camels L 54 - 63
2026-02-01 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 79 - 68
2026-02-06 @ Towson Tigers W 52 - 51
2026-02-08 @ Elon Phoenix L 52 - 75
2026-02-15 vs Towson Tigers W 75 - 70
2026-02-20 vs Monmouth Hawks L 58 - 63
2026-02-22 vs Drexel Dragons L 61 - 63
2026-02-27 @ Charleston Cougars L 48 - 70
2026-03-01 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 60 - 41
2026-03-05 vs Elon Phoenix W 70 - 59
2026-03-07 @ Hampton Lady Pirates W 61 - 60
2026-03-12 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 61 - 58
2026-03-13 @ Charleston Cougars L 55 - 58

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
C. Geddes C. Geddes G 28 34.0 13.9 2.9 2.4 1.9 0.5 2.2 15.2 4.1 1 0.0 0.1 35.1 29.3 69.6 2.35 43.6 41.9
J. Sallman J. Sallman C 25 19.5 9.4 6.3 1.2 0.4 1.2 1.8 7.8 8.8 10 0.5 1.2 49.0 0.0 76.4 -1.78 53.1 49.0
N. Fox N. Fox F 28 26.0 9.0 5.7 1.3 0.8 0.8 2.4 7.6 7.6 -37 -1.7 -2.4 47.9 0 58.3 -1.13 50.6 47.9
M. Dance M. Dance G 28 32.0 8.9 3.4 3.6 1.9 0.0 2.1 9.1 6.6 -47 -2.1 -2.7 32.0 30.1 72.2 -2.09 43.5 38.7
A. Mikeska A. Mikeska G 28 29.6 6.2 5.0 3.7 1.8 0.3 1.7 4.4 10.9 14 0.6 0.8 47.6 30.8 83.0 3.59 59.8 54.0
K. Smith K. Smith G 20 21.1 5.8 1.9 1.2 0.6 0.0 1.4 5.8 2.2 79 4.2 4.9 39.3 31.5 87.5 2.95 48.1 46.6
D. Pierce D. Pierce G 22 16.4 4.0 3.5 0.5 0.5 0.3 1.0 4.4 3.5 -21 -1.3 -2.4 35.4 19.4 61.9 0.11 41.3 38.5
M. Long M. Long F 25 18.8 3.8 3.3 0.7 0.7 0.2 1.1 3.8 3.8 -29 -1.6 -5.5 41.1 25.0 73.3 -2.08 46.3 43.7
S. LeGoullon S. LeGoullon G 16 10.1 2.2 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 2.2 1.3 -2 -0.1 -0.5 37.1 24.0 75.0 -1.33 47.6 45.7
A. Gibson A. Gibson G 1 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -1.0 4 2.0 11.9 33.3 0.0 0 1.13 33.3 33.3
A. Mercado A. Mercado G 23 6.8 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.0 1.0 1.4 1.0 -17 -1.2 -7.5 34.4 28.6 94.1 -1.61 53.2 40.6
A. Basit A. Basit F 16 6.1 1.4 1.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.4 -30 -2.3 -10.1 38.5 0 40.0 -2.56 39.0 38.5
E. West E. West G 7 6.7 0.6 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.9 -0.3 -13 -2.6 -20.2 15.4 0.0 0.0 -1.19 13.6 15.4
Jordyn Steindl Jordyn Steindl G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
A. Dos Santos A. Dos Santos F 4 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.8 -1.8 -12 -4.0 -123.1 0.0 0.0 0 -0.51 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG