Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | William & Mary Tribe | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: William & Mary Tribe +11 (70-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Pass | 35 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Shaw | 31 | 3-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| T. Watkins | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| K. Doty | 21 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| R. Willard | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Q. Fulmore | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| L. Corbett | 18 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| T. Walker | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Khalil | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Morrow | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Long | 38 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Dance | 35 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 9-10 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| A. Mikeska | 32 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Sallman | 24 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| C. Geddes | 23 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Pierce | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| N. Fox | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Mercado | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Basit | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter