Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | Elon Phoenix | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.0% | 56.0% | +1.3 | ✓ (21.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Elon Phoenix +23 (75-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Pierce | 26 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 4 | -8.5 |
| A. Mikeska | 23 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -9.5 |
| M. Dance | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -13.4 |
| A. Basit | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -2.1 |
| M. Long | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1.4 |
| C. Geddes | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | -2.7 |
| A. Mercado | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Sallman | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -12.7 |
| E. West | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Fox | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -9.3 |
| K. Smith | 11 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -6.1 |
| S. LeGoullon | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Anderson | 26 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | +10.6 |
| M. Pass | 24 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | +10.1 |
| T. Watkins | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 20 | +13.1 |
| T. Walker | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | +8.4 |
| L. Corbett | 19 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +3.3 |
| K. Doty | 19 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +1.3 |
| Q. Fulmore | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +6.4 |
| A. Fox | 16 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | +3.3 |
| A. Shaw | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +4.3 |
| R. Willard | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +2.7 |
| S. Khalil | 8 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| K. Morrow | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter