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2026-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Monmouth Hawks William & Mary Tribe Spread Result
Elo 51.9% 48.1% -
Bradley-Terry 38.1% 61.9% -
Margin 42.4% 57.6% +1.7 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% -
Efficiency 56.5% 43.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.2% 47.8% -
Log Adjusted 52.4% 47.6% -
Points Off/Def 44.7% 55.3% -

Actual: William & Mary Tribe -5 (58-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Monmouth Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Gamble 38 7-15 2-4 4-5 4 1 3 0 2 20 11 -
M. Amaro 36 1-4 0-2 1-4 4 6 2 0 1 3 10 -
A. Andrews 36 2-6 0-1 1-2 1 2 1 0 2 5 1 -
E. Farrelly 33 3-6 2-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 8 8 -
D. Dibula 24 9-17 0-0 4-5 8 0 0 2 2 22 13 -
A. Davis 17 2-5 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 0 5 7 -
K. Kersaint 16 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

William & Mary Tribe

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Dance 38 4-11 1-4 1-2 5 5 1 0 2 10 8 -
C. Geddes 37 3-11 1-5 2-4 1 1 2 0 1 9 1 -
A. Mikeska 35 2-6 1-3 1-2 10 2 2 0 1 6 13 -
N. Fox 30 4-5 0-0 1-2 5 3 0 2 4 9 10 -
D. Pierce 25 5-10 0-2 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 11 6 -
M. Long 20 3-9 0-2 1-2 4 1 2 0 2 7 3 -
J. Sallman 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 3 4 2 -
A. Mercado 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter