🐻⬇️🏀

Western Illinois

Also known as: Western Illinois Leathernecks
Program History

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

64.4
PPG
77.5
Opp
-13.6
Margin
40.0%
FG%
31.7%
3P%
66.0%
FT%
31.3
RPG
8.3
APG
11.8
TO
76.9
Pace

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 665 (#362) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 662 (#360) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → 846 (#355) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → -21.8 (#363) -
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → -24.7 (#364) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.043 (#360) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. ValueError: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → 0.137 (#363) -
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → 0.196 (#362) -
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → 593 (#363) -

2026 Schedule & Results

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lucas Lorenzen Lucas Lorenzen - 29 33.0 14.7 4.3 0.9 0.8 0.1 1.8 12.0 7.0 -180 -7.8 -11.9 38.9 31.8 80.3 -1.26 53.6 48.0
I. Griffin I. Griffin F 29 28.2 10.1 3.4 1.1 0.6 0.1 1.6 8.7 5.0 -217 -9.4 -15.0 36.3 29.6 73.5 -1.93 48.3 41.0
A. Massey A. Massey - 25 22.6 7.8 3.4 0.9 0.6 0.7 1.8 6.4 5.3 -97 -5.7 -12.4 48.4 66.7 48.2 -0.78 50.1 49.1
Karyiek Dixon Karyiek Dixon - 18 24.3 7.7 6.6 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.8 5.9 9.0 -65 -3.2 -6.2 51.9 11.1 70.0 -0.38 56.2 52.4
Francis Okwuosah Francis Okwuosah - 29 22.2 7.6 4.0 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.9 6.4 5.7 -66 -2.9 -7.2 42.7 41.3 69.6 -0.28 56.1 54.9
Danny Stephens Danny Stephens G 14 17.9 5.6 2.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 1.2 5.3 2.6 -57 -8.1 -27.9 35.1 27.5 71.4 -0.72 46.9 42.6
Makai Kvamme Makai Kvamme - 29 24.9 5.1 2.7 2.7 1.1 0.1 1.2 5.8 4.8 -74 -3.2 -6.4 35.7 18.5 48.0 -0.27 39.2 37.2
G. Biliew G. Biliew - 29 17.9 4.2 2.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.9 3.3 3.0 -109 -4.7 -13.7 41.2 38.9 56.5 -1.04 49.1 44.8
T. Cook T. Cook G 26 15.7 4.0 1.5 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.8 4.2 2.2 -36 -1.6 -6.0 38.0 12.5 82.6 -0.19 43.6 38.9
M. Pigram M. Pigram - 17 12.2 3.3 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.6 3.6 0.8 -25 -2.5 -12.7 32.8 27.3 70.0 -0.33 42.8 40.2
N. Hittle N. Hittle - 16 5.8 1.6 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.4 -11 -0.9 -6.5 38.9 100.0 68.8 -0.09 51.9 41.7
Ifiok Peter Ifiok Peter - 22 5.8 1.6 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.3 -38 -2.2 -13.3 32.1 0 53.1 -0.13 41.6 32.1
S. Tipton S. Tipton - 14 3.9 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.1 -19 -2.1 -19.2 35.7 40.0 0 -0.16 42.9 42.9
Jack Riley Jack Riley F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -116 -5.5 -6.5 - - - -0.04 - -
Jake Edwards Jake Edwards - 10 2.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.06 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG