Model Predictions
| Model | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Eastern Illinois Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.0% | 90.0% | +12.1 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Eastern Illinois Panthers +2 (57-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Lorenzen | 37 | 4-13 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | -1 | -4.4 |
| K. Dixon | 36 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 20 | +7.0 |
| M. Kvamme | 33 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | +1.3 |
| I. Griffin | 32 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | -0.9 |
| G. Biliew | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -4.8 |
| A. Massey | 22 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +2.2 |
| F. Okwuosah | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -5.5 |
| T. Cook | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.8 |
| I. Peter | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
Eastern Illinois Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. White | 34 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | +4.2 |
| Z. Fruster | 34 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | +2.6 |
| T. McMorris | 32 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +7.3 |
| K. Jacobi | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -9.1 |
| P. Turner | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -0.5 |
| N. Fisher | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +6.8 |
| M. Olafioye | 12 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +0.3 |
| A. Austin | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.4 |
| P. Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter