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Weber State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Weber State Wildcats, Weber State
Program History
Coach: Randy Rahe

2019 Team Stats (4 games)

74.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
45.5%
FG%
38.0%
3P%
70.8%
FT%
35.8
RPG
11.3
APG
13.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.1
Adj PPG
75.0
Adj Opp PPG
#212
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More → Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 969 (#197) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More → 976 (#206) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -3.6 (#215) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → -4.8 (#246) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.565 (#136) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.5 More → 0.348 (#219) AdjNet -5.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.6 More → 0.345 (#220) AdjNet -5.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 75.0 More → 0.435 (#212) AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 75.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 73.0 More → 0.472 (#203) AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 73.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.406 (#222) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.414 (#221) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 129 | GP 31 More → 933 (#225) RD 129 | GP 31

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 @ San Diego Toreros L 66 - 83
2018-11-09 vs Bethesda Flames W 123 - 53
2018-11-15 vs San José State Spartans W 85 - 77
2018-11-16 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 78 - 76
2018-11-18 @ Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners L 67 - 68
2018-11-27 vs Benedictine Mesa Redhawks W 100 - 61
2018-12-01 vs BYU Cougars W 113 - 103
2018-12-05 @ Fresno State Bulldogs L 52 - 71
2018-12-08 @ Utah State Aggies L 67 - 76
2018-12-15 vs Utah Valley Wolverines L 63 - 75
2018-12-22 vs Delaware State Hornets W 83 - 69
2018-12-29 @ Eastern Washington Eagles W 84 - 72
2018-12-31 @ Idaho Vandals W 93 - 87
2019-01-03 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 77 - 52
2019-01-05 vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds L 82 - 90
2019-01-12 @ Portland State Vikings W 95 - 88
2019-01-17 vs Idaho State Bengals W 76 - 59
2019-01-19 vs Northern Colorado Bears W 78 - 64
2019-01-24 @ Montana State Bobcats W 93 - 84
2019-01-26 @ Montana Grizzlies L 68 - 75
2019-01-31 vs Portland State Vikings L 75 - 76
2019-02-02 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 75 - 65
2019-02-07 @ Southern Utah Thunderbirds L 53 - 65
2019-02-09 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 86 - 71
2019-02-14 vs Montana Grizzlies L 80 - 83
2019-02-16 vs Montana State Bobcats W 94 - 82
2019-02-21 @ Sacramento State Hornets L 76 - 78
2019-02-28 @ Northern Colorado Bears L 61 - 85
2019-03-04 @ Idaho State Bengals L 74 - 78
2019-03-07 vs Idaho Vandals W 93 - 59
2019-03-09 vs Eastern Washington Eagles L 77 - 80
2019-03-14 vs Portland State Vikings W 81 - 71
2019-03-15 @ Montana Grizzlies L 49 - 78

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jerrick Harding Jerrick Harding G 27 33.7 21.4 3.4 1.4 1.6 0.4 2.2 2.8 23.1 87 23 3.8 4.8 52.6 36.7 83.9 -0.94 322.4 59.9
Cody John Cody John G 30 31.5 15.1 3.7 2.0 0.5 0.2 1.9 2.0 17.5 61 24 2.5 3.4 49.2 20.0 77.8 -0.78 359.0 51.7
Brekkott Chapman Brekkott Chapman F 30 29.3 12.8 8.4 2.1 1.0 1.6 1.9 1.9 22.1 142 24 5.9 8.2 56.1 56.7 60.0 3.73 301.9 71.1
Zach Braxton Zach Braxton C 28 24.1 9.9 6.8 0.8 0.5 0.7 1.6 1.3 15.7 56 21 2.7 4.8 59.5 0 74.3 -1.18 263.4 59.5
Israel Barnes Israel Barnes - 30 24.1 6.5 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.2 1.2 1.1 8.6 68 24 2.8 5.1 38.2 21.4 28.6 0.26 261.6 42.6
Caleb Nero Caleb Nero - 30 19.1 6.3 1.7 1.5 0.6 0.1 1.1 0.8 8.3 5 24 0.2 0.5 33.3 18.2 50.0 -1.82 379.8 37.5
Michal Kozak Michal Kozak F 30 18.3 4.5 4.1 0.8 0.3 0.9 0.7 0.8 9.1 -3 24 -0.1 -0.3 54.2 36.4 80.0 -0.62 259.5 62.5
Ricky Nelson Ricky Nelson - 20 18.8 3.5 0.9 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.9 0.7 5.2 -11 14 -0.8 -2.0 28.6 33.3 78.6 -2.74 171.1 32.1
Brenden Morris Brenden Morris F 4 4.5 2.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.8 3.8 - - - - 66.7 100.0 0 -2.39 166.7 83.3
Dima Zdor Dima Zdor - 25 5.8 2.3 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 4.5 -20 19 -1.1 -9.2 100.0 0 75.0 -4.85 598.7 100.0
Donatas Kupsas Donatas Kupsas F 21 10.6 2.1 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.4 4.1 1 17 0.1 0.3 22.2 0.0 100.0 -1.26 233.1 22.2
Caleb Leonhardt Caleb Leonhardt G 2 3.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 100.0 0.0
Alan Lang Alan Lang F 3 3.0 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.3 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -1.5 100.0 0.0
Jordan Dallas Jordan Dallas C 5 3.6 0.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 1.4 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.08 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG