Model Predictions
| Model | Weber State Wildcats | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +24 (85-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Weber State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel Barnes * | 37 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Cody John * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Jerrick Harding * | 32 | 6-12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Zach Braxton * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Brekkott Chapman * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Caleb Nero | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Donatas Kupsas | 13 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Michal Kozak | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Dima Zdor | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonah Radebaugh * | 36 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - |
| Jordan Davis * | 31 | 13-18 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 21 | - |
| Bodie Hume * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Sam Masten * | 28 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Kur Jockuch * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kai Edwards | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Trent Harris | 22 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Matej Drgon | 11 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Cole Bergan | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Johnatan Reyes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Johnson II | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Sanders | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter