Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho Vandals | Weber State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Weber State Wildcats +34 (93-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Tyson * | 35 | 4-13 | 3-9 | 6-7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 4 | -15.6 |
| Scott Blakney * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | -10.9 |
| Jared Rodriguez * | 24 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | -13.8 |
| Trevon Allen * | 24 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | -15.5 |
| Loseni Kamara * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -10.2 |
| RayQuawndis Mitchell | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8.8 |
| Xavier Smith | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -9.7 |
| Khadim Samb | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -19.7 |
Weber State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerrick Harding * | 31 | 9-17 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 15 | +20.6 |
| Israel Barnes * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | +5.3 |
| Brekkott Chapman * | 26 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 17 | +29.8 |
| Cody John * | 25 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 17 | +22.0 |
| Zach Braxton * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | +20.7 |
| Caleb Nero | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +16.0 |
| Michal Kozak | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +2.0 |
| Donatas Kupsas | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -6.2 |
| Dima Zdor | 10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | -7.1 |
| Ricky Nelson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.9 |
| Jordan Dallas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.3 |
| Brenden Morris | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Alan Lang | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.0 |
* = starter