Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Weber State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Weber State Wildcats +17 (76-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balint Mocsan * | 29 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | -8.8 |
| Jared Stutzman * | 27 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -7.0 |
| Kelvin Jones * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +2.8 |
| Chier Maker * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -6.4 |
| Brandon Boyd * | 21 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | +4.8 |
| Sam Dowd | 19 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8.4 |
| Gary Chivichyan | 18 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +7.1 |
| Austin Smellie | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4.7 |
| Chidi Udengwu | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Alonzo Walker | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -9.1 |
| Blake Truman | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Lyle Sutton | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.1 |
Weber State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerrick Harding * | 35 | 10-16 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 18 | +9.3 |
| Israel Barnes * | 30 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +10.5 |
| Brekkott Chapman * | 29 | 8-14 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 23 | +14.7 |
| Cody John * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Zach Braxton * | 25 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | +9.0 |
| Caleb Nero | 26 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -5.1 |
| Michal Kozak | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -15.2 |
| Dima Zdor | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Donatas Kupsas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Brenden Morris | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter