Model Predictions
| Model | Weber State Wildcats | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -15 (71-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Weber State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerrick Harding * | 35 | 10-18 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 18 | +6.7 |
| Cody John * | 34 | 9-13 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 21 | +18.2 |
| Israel Barnes * | 31 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -2 | +13.0 |
| Michal Kozak * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15 | +16.4 |
| Brekkott Chapman * | 18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | +8.5 |
| Caleb Nero | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Donatas Kupsas | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.8 |
| Dima Zdor | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -7.1 |
| Jordan Dallas | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Brenden Morris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernie Andre * | 32 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 4-8 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | -8.0 |
| Luke Avdalovic * | 32 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -14.5 |
| Cam Shelton * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Carlos Hines * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -22.5 |
| Aziz Seck * | 8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -4.2 |
| Ted McCree | 26 | 7-14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | -4.8 |
| Brooks DeBisschop | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -3.9 |
| Isaiah Thomas | 11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -6.2 |
| Davon Bolton | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Nik Mains | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1.2 |
* = starter