🐻⬇️🏀

Wisconsin Herd

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: WIS
Program History

2026 Team Stats (42 games)

106.8
PPG
110.2
Opp
-2.7
Margin
46.0%
FG%
36.5%
3P%
76.6%
FT%
40.0
RPG
23.6
APG
15.2
TO
104.9
Pace
109.8
AdjO
107.3
AdjD
#13
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1030 (#12) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 993 (#14) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +40 elo More → 864 (#31) HCA +40 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +0.3 More → +7.3 (#4) HCA +0.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.8 More → -7.0 (#31) HCA +1.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.493 (#17) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.5 More → 0.514 (#14) NetEff +0.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.1 More → 0.440 (#21) AdjNet -2.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.1 More → 0.440 (#21) AdjNet -2.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 109.8 | AdjD 107.3 More → 0.557 (#13) AdjO 109.8 | AdjD 107.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 106.4 | AdjD 112.8 More → 0.358 (#31) AdjO 106.4 | AdjD 112.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.315 (#31) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.309 (#31) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 48 More → 831 (#31) RD 97 | GP 48

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-21 @ SBL L 119 - 131
2025-12-22 vs RGV L 103 - 118
2025-12-27 @ GRG L 111 - 125
2025-12-30 @ CLC L 107 - 115
2026-01-03 @ STO W 89 - 87
2026-01-05 vs CPS W 116 - 98
2026-01-08 @ LIN W 108 - 101
2026-01-09 @ LIN L 112 - 121
2026-01-11 @ GRG W 109 - 95
2026-01-14 vs MNE L 106 - 114
2026-01-16 vs MNE W 113 - 98
2026-01-17 vs WES L 94 - 104
2026-01-19 vs WES W 114 - 103
2026-01-22 vs NOB L 90 - 95
2026-01-24 vs NOB L 115 - 117
2026-01-30 @ CCG W 124 - 99
2026-01-31 @ CCG L 98 - 110
2026-02-07 @ DEL L 94 - 99
2026-02-09 vs BHM L 89 - 104
2026-02-10 vs BHM L 110 - 124
2026-02-20 vs GBO - Preview
2026-02-21 vs GBO - Preview
2026-02-24 @ WCB L 104 - 112
2026-02-26 @ MHU - Preview
2026-02-27 @ MHU W 134 - 126
2026-03-06 vs MXC L 104 - 116
2026-03-07 vs MXC - Preview
2026-03-09 vs VAL W 109 - 103
2026-03-11 @ OSC L 113 - 126
2026-03-16 @ WCB - Preview
2026-03-20 vs MCC L 105 - 123
2026-03-21 vs MCC - Preview
2026-03-23 vs CPS L 114 - 117
2026-03-26 @ RAP W 106 - 104
2026-03-28 @ RAP - Preview

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Cormac Ryan G 21 33.8 21.9 4.5 3.3 1.6 0.2 2.7 15.3 13.6 - - - 48.8 42.5 87.7 - 66.3 59.3
Pete Nance F 6 35.3 21.0 8.0 3.5 1.5 0.5 1.7 15.0 17.8 - - - 51.1 38.9 85.7 - 65.5 58.9
Mark Sears G 20 33.9 19.6 4.3 6.1 1.1 0.1 2.9 14.4 13.9 - - - 46.4 44.2 87.8 - 63.7 56.9
Stephen Thompson G 26 33.3 18.0 5.7 4.5 1.6 0.3 2.0 13.2 14.8 - - - 48.5 44.3 73.4 - 63.1 57.6
Johnny Davis F 9 29.2 16.0 5.7 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.9 13.4 9.7 - - - 42.1 36.5 72.7 - 55.1 50.0
Victor Oladipo G 14 29.5 13.4 4.5 3.9 2.1 0.4 2.6 12.1 9.5 - - - 39.6 34.3 76.0 - 51.9 46.7
Kira Lewis Jr. G 19 25.5 12.7 2.8 3.5 1.0 0.3 1.7 10.1 8.6 - - - 48.7 36.3 87.5 - 61.1 57.3
Craig Randall II G 2 24.0 11.0 1.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 4.5 12.0 -0.5 - - - 37.5 23.5 0 - 45.8 45.8
John Butler Jr. F 27 27.7 9.6 5.6 1.6 1.2 1.0 1.0 6.5 11.6 - - - 51.4 41.6 87.5 - 70.1 64.9
Kobe Stewart F 25 21.0 9.2 3.4 1.2 0.8 0.8 1.0 6.8 7.5 - - - 48.5 40.0 73.1 - 62.8 57.3
Cameron Martin F 12 19.8 6.2 6.5 3.1 0.6 0.2 1.5 4.2 10.8 - - - 47.1 46.2 64.7 - 63.3 52.9
Jeremiah Tilmon F 21 18.2 6.0 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.7 1.6 3.6 7.7 - - - 63.2 50.0 76.2 - 73.9 63.8
Justyn Hamilton - 8 14.5 5.9 4.0 1.1 0.5 0.4 1.1 6.4 4.4 - - - 41.2 0.0 66.7 - 43.8 41.2
Lacey James C 9 18.6 5.8 4.8 1.7 0.3 0.4 0.7 5.2 7.1 - - - 48.9 25.0 30.0 - 50.6 50.0
Dennis Smith Jr. G 5 25.2 5.6 6.2 3.6 1.0 0.4 1.8 8.8 6.2 - - - 25.0 18.2 66.7 - 30.9 27.3
Kaden Anderson F 7 11.0 5.6 2.6 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.3 5.0 - - - 56.5 40.0 85.7 - 74.8 60.9
Alex Antetokounmpo - 25 17.8 4.0 2.9 1.2 0.2 0.4 1.0 4.0 3.8 - - - 32.3 22.4 63.2 - 46.1 38.9
Jamal Bieniemy - 4 15.0 2.8 1.2 2.5 1.0 0.5 1.8 2.8 3.5 - - - 45.5 25.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Onno Steger - 6 7.8 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.3 0.0 - - - 25.0 25.0 100.0 - 35.5 31.2

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG