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2025-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Herd Grand Rapids Gold Spread Result
Elo 43.3% 56.7% -
Bradley-Terry 47.4% 52.6% -
Margin 50.9% 49.1% -0.2 (14.2 off)
Pythagorean 53.9% 46.1% -
Efficiency 69.1% 30.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.0% 72.0% -
Log Adjusted 28.0% 72.0% -
Points Off/Def 40.5% 59.5% -

Actual: Grand Rapids Gold +14 (125-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Herd

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Thompson * 46 6-16 1-5 2-2 7 6 2 0 1 16 14 -
Cormac Ryan * 36 9-22 4-9 1-1 6 1 2 0 3 23 7 -
John Butler Jr. * 35 5-13 4-11 0-0 6 1 2 3 0 14 13 -
Kira Lewis Jr. * 18 3-6 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 7 2 -
Kaden Anderson * 11 1-1 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
Mark Sears 33 7-16 3-8 4-4 3 6 1 0 0 26 20 -
Lacey James 24 2-6 1-3 0-1 7 3 2 2 1 5 12 -
Jeremiah Tilmon 19 4-4 0-0 2-3 3 3 0 0 1 12 13 -
Alex Antetokounmpo 14 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -

Grand Rapids Gold

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Akinjo * 34 9-17 3-7 0-0 3 11 1 0 3 21 16 -
Coleman Hawkins * 33 4-6 1-2 0-1 11 6 1 1 5 9 17 -
Kessler Edwards * 30 7-12 5-9 2-2 4 2 1 0 3 23 15 -
Moses Brown * 29 11-16 0-0 2-3 12 0 1 0 1 26 22 -
Dane Goodwin * 29 5-10 4-7 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 14 10 -
Javante McCoy 32 7-16 1-3 1-1 4 4 0 0 1 16 7 -
Terrence Hargrove Jr. 19 2-4 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
Blaise Threatt 12 2-7 0-0 1-1 3 2 0 1 0 5 4 -
Justyn Hamilton 10 3-8 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 6 4 -
Michael Caicedo 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 -

* = starter