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2026-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Maine Celtics Wisconsin Herd Spread Result
Elo 69.6% 30.4% -
Bradley-Terry 54.5% 45.5% -
Margin 58.4% 41.6% -1.9 (16.9 off)
Pythagorean 55.3% 44.7% -
Efficiency 75.2% 24.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.9% 38.1% -
Log Adjusted 61.8% 38.2% -
Points Off/Def 38.8% 61.2% -

Actual: Wisconsin Herd +15 (113-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Hayden Gray * 39 5-12 3-5 1-2 2 5 2 1 1 15 12 -
Jalen Bridges * 36 5-13 3-8 1-2 3 2 2 0 3 14 5 -
Kendall Brown * 36 8-15 1-3 1-1 4 4 1 0 2 19 11 -
Tosan Evbuomwan * 36 5-14 2-8 3-3 4 3 2 0 2 17 10 -
Hason Ward * 27 6-11 1-4 0-0 9 2 1 2 2 13 14 -
Stefan Todorovic 31 4-12 0-5 4-8 6 3 4 0 2 17 16 -
Kameron Warrens 11 0-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Aaron Scott 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
Pedro Bradshaw 10 1-6 0-2 1-1 4 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

Wisconsin Herd

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Thompson * 36 7-11 3-3 0-0 5 10 2 0 4 17 19 -
Cormac Ryan * 35 3-12 1-7 3-3 5 2 0 0 1 14 8 -
John Butler Jr. * 33 10-13 5-8 1-1 6 0 3 0 4 27 19 -
Victor Oladipo * 31 4-14 2-7 3-3 7 3 2 0 3 14 9 -
Cameron Martin * 20 1-4 0-0 1-1 10 3 0 0 1 4 12 -
Kobe Stewart 30 7-9 2-3 2-2 4 2 1 0 2 19 15 -
Alex Antetokounmpo 18 4-11 0-5 2-3 5 1 0 1 1 12 7 -
Jeremiah Tilmon 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 2 4 9 -
Jamal Bieniemy 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 2 3 -

* = starter