Model Predictions
| Model | Valley Suns | Wisconsin Herd | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wisconsin Herd +6 (109-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valley Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean McDermott * | 40 | 11-22 | 7-16 | 2-4 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 29 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford * | 40 | 9-25 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Koby Brea * | 36 | 3-11 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Kaleb Johnson * | 36 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Zhuric Phelps * | 26 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Burk | 30 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Steven Richardson | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kalib Boone | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
Wisconsin Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Sears * | 37 | 10-19 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Stephen Thompson * | 34 | 8-17 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 21 | - |
| John Butler Jr. * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Kobe Stewart * | 18 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Lacey James * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Johnny Davis | 29 | 4-14 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 24 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Jeremiah Tilmon | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Alex Antetokounmpo | 20 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Justyn Hamilton | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
* = starter