Model Predictions
| Model | Wisconsin Herd | Osceola Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.8% | 85.2% | +9.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Osceola Magic +13 (126-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wisconsin Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Thompson * | 39 | 9-20 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 24 | - |
| John Butler Jr. * | 37 | 6-8 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 26 | - |
| Mark Sears * | 37 | 8-18 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Kobe Stewart * | 24 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jeremiah Tilmon * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 36 | 10-16 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Lacey James | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Onno Steger | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justyn Hamilton | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Osceola Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Minaya * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Reece Beekman * | 29 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Colin Castleton * | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Phillip Wheeler * | 27 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Lester Quinones * | 26 | 7-14 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Javonte Smart | 28 | 6-15 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Jarron Cumberland | 21 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| William Baker | 19 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Ace Baldwin | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Johnell Davis | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter