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Villanova

Also known as: Villanova Wildcats, Villanova
Program History

2020 Team Stats (24 games)

72.0
PPG
65.4
Opp
+6.5
Margin
43.3%
FG%
34.4%
3P%
76.5%
FT%
36.0
RPG
13.7
APG
10.6
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.9
Adj PPG
60.5
Adj Opp PPG
#17
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1389 (#12) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1327 (#7) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More โ†’ 1172 (#14) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +15.7 (#17) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +16.2 (#10) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.754 (#46) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +21.9 More โ†’ 0.926 (#20) AdjNet +21.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +22.1 More โ†’ 0.927 (#20) AdjNet +22.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 60.5 More โ†’ 0.787 (#17) AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 60.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 61.4 More โ†’ 0.713 (#14) AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 61.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.854 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.844 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 86 | GP 31 More โ†’ 1351 (#6) RD 86 | GP 31

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-11-05 vs Army Black Knights W 97 - 54
2019-11-13 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 51 - 76
2019-11-16 vs Ohio Bobcats W 78 - 54
2019-11-21 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 98 - 69
2019-11-22 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs W 83 - 76
2019-11-24 @ Baylor Bears L 78 - 87
2019-12-01 vs La Salle Explorers W 83 - 72
2019-12-04 vs Pennsylvania Quakers W 80 - 69
2019-12-07 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks W 78 - 66
2019-12-14 vs Delaware Blue Hens W 78 - 70
2019-12-21 vs Kansas Jayhawks W 56 - 55
2019-12-30 vs Xavier Musketeers W 68 - 62
2020-01-04 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 60 - 71
2020-01-07 @ Creighton Bluejays W 64 - 59
2020-01-11 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 80 - 66
2020-01-14 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 79 - 75
2020-01-18 vs UConn Huskies W 61 - 55
2020-01-21 vs Butler Bulldogs W 76 - 61
2020-01-25 @ Providence Friars W 64 - 60
2020-01-28 @ St. John's Red Storm W 79 - 59
2020-02-01 vs Creighton Bluejays L 61 - 76
2020-02-05 @ Butler Bulldogs L 76 - 79
2020-02-08 vs Seton Hall Pirates L 64 - 70
2020-02-12 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 72 - 71
2020-02-16 @ Temple Owls W 76 - 56
2020-02-19 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 91 - 71
2020-02-22 @ Xavier Musketeers W 64 - 55
2020-02-26 vs St. John's Red Storm W 71 - 60
2020-02-29 vs Providence Friars L 54 - 58
2020-03-04 @ Seton Hall Pirates W 79 - 77
2020-03-07 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 70 - 69
2020-03-12 vs DePaul Blue Demons - Preview

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Saddiq Bey Saddiq Bey - 25 34.8 17.0 4.9 2.3 0.8 0.3 1.6 12.5 11.2 198 28 7.1 8.5 47.0 44.4 77.4 4.29 60.9 57.7
Collin Gillespie Collin Gillespie - 25 34.6 15.2 4.1 4.0 1.1 0.1 1.7 12.6 10.2 233 28 8.3 10.0 39.9 36.3 83.7 7.15 53.8 48.9
Justin Moore Justin Moore - 31 29.9 11.3 3.1 1.9 0.7 0.3 1.8 8.1 7.4 112 28 4.0 5.6 41.6 38.6 69.6 -2.0 64.9 51.4
Jermaine Samuels Jermaine Samuels - 24 31.1 10.7 5.8 2.1 1.1 0.7 1.2 7.8 11.4 184 27 6.8 9.2 46.8 27.5 73.1 1.89 58.1 53.5
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl Jeremiah Robinson-Earl - 25 33.0 10.3 9.4 1.8 1.1 0.6 2.3 7.9 13.1 165 28 5.9 7.4 44.9 30.0 83.1 1.59 55.4 48.7
Cole Swider Cole Swider - 25 17.1 4.8 2.6 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.9 4.6 2.7 26 28 0.9 2.1 39.7 30.7 66.7 -1.83 50.2 49.6
Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree F 23 7.7 1.6 2.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.4 1.0 3.2 -48 25 -1.9 -10.1 72.7 0 57.1 -6.54 71.8 72.7
Brandon Slater Brandon Slater - 31 11.5 1.6 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.7 -7 28 -0.2 -0.9 40.0 0.0 36.4 -3.71 61.5 40.0
Bryan Antoine Bryan Antoine - 13 4.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.2 -0.2 18 13 1.4 11.7 12.5 7.7 100.0 0.32 20.7 15.6
Arcidiacono, Chris Arcidiacono, Chris - 8 2.5 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 3 8 0.4 7.1 0.0 0.0 0 0.2 75.0 0.0
Tim Saunders Tim Saunders G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.34 0 0
K. Hoehn K. Hoehn G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.34 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG