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2020-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats Marquette Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 61.6% 38.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 64.8% 35.2% - โœ—
Margin 45.0% 55.0% +1.1 โœ“ (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 54.4% 45.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 54.3% 45.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 47.3% 52.7% - โœ“

Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles +11 (71-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cole Swider 28 5-9 4-8 0-0 5 0 0 0 4 14 6 -
Collin Gillespie 28 2-9 2-6 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 6 4 -
Saddiq Bey 24 4-9 1-3 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 9 7 -
Bryan Antoine 21 0-6 0-4 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 2 -2 -
Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * 27 1-5 0-3 1-1 11 1 0 1 3 3 8 -
Jermaine Samuels * 25 5-11 0-4 0-2 2 1 0 0 0 10 2 -
Justin Moore 31 6-16 2-9 0-0 6 2 2 0 2 14 6 -
Brandon Slater 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. McEwen * 36 5-12 2-5 10-13 4 0 2 1 2 22 15 -
T. John * 33 2-4 0-0 2-3 10 1 1 4 0 6 18 -
B. Bailey * 31 0-3 0-2 2-2 3 2 1 1 1 2 5 -
M. Howard * 29 7-20 3-12 12-12 8 1 2 0 3 29 17 -
S. Anim * 23 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
G. Elliott 23 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 4 8 -
J. Cain 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 2 0 -
Symir Torrence 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
E. Morrow 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

* = starter