Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.3% | 73.7% | +5.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.5% | 69.5% | +4.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +15 (76-61). Ratings: 2019-20 season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Nze * | 38 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 24 | - |
| Kamar Baldwin * | 35 | 9-21 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 5 | - |
| Aaron Thompson * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Bryce Golden * | 25 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Sean McDermott * | 22 | 1-11 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Tucker | 27 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Khalif Battle | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Christian David | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Derrik Smits | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddiq Bey * | 37 | 4-14 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Collin Gillespie * | 36 | 4-15 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 35 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Jermaine Samuels * | 34 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Cole Swider * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Justin Moore | 28 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Slater | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Bryan Antoine | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter