Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.8% | 51.2% | -0.9 | ✗ (6.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -7 (76-83). Ratings: 2019-20 season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Gillespie * | 37 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 35 | 9-12 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Jermaine Samuels * | 34 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 29 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Justin Moore * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Cole Swider | 25 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Slater | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Bryan Antoine | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Woodard * | 37 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Tyson Carter * | 36 | 7-19 | 3-9 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 7 | - |
| Reggie Perry * | 35 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Abdul Ado * | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Iverson Molinar * | 20 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| D.J. Stewart Jr. | 28 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| KeyShawn Feazell | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter