Model Predictions
| Model | UConn Huskies | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.0% | 84.0% | +9.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +6 (61-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Vital * | 34 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Akok Akok * | 34 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Josh Carlton * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Alterique Gilbert * | 28 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | - |
| James Bouknight * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Jalen Gaffney | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brendan Adams | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Sidney Wilson | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Gillespie | 39 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Saddiq Bey | 37 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Cole Swider | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Bryan Antoine | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jermaine Samuels * | 35 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Justin Moore | 27 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Slater | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter