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Villanova

Also known as: Villanova Wildcats, Villanova
Program History

2019 Team Stats (31 games)

73.2
PPG
68.9
Opp
+4.3
Margin
43.4%
FG%
35.1%
3P%
72.2%
FT%
34.2
RPG
13.9
APG
11.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.5
Adj PPG
62.2
Adj Opp PPG
#33
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More โ†’ Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1259 (#24) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More โ†’ 1097 (#50) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +13.3 (#33) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +10.1 (#46) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.738 (#48) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.2 More โ†’ 0.902 (#34) AdjNet +19.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.3 More โ†’ 0.903 (#35) AdjNet +19.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 62.2 More โ†’ 0.754 (#33) AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 62.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 65.3 More โ†’ 0.624 (#54) AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 65.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.800 (#29) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.780 (#33) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 36 More โ†’ 1292 (#20) RD 104 | GP 36

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 vs Morgan State Bears W 100 - 77
2018-11-10 vs Quinnipiac Bobcats W 86 - 53
2018-11-14 vs Michigan Wolverines L 46 - 73
2018-11-17 vs Furman Paladins L 68 - 76
2018-11-22 @ Canisius Golden Griffins W 83 - 56
2018-11-23 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys W 77 - 58
2018-11-25 @ Florida State Seminoles W 66 - 60
2018-12-01 @ La Salle Explorers W 85 - 78
2018-12-05 vs Temple Owls W 69 - 59
2018-12-08 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 70 - 58
2018-12-11 @ Pennsylvania Quakers L 75 - 78
2018-12-15 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 71 - 74
2018-12-22 vs UConn Huskies W 81 - 58
2019-01-02 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 73 - 68
2019-01-05 @ Providence Friars W 65 - 59
2019-01-08 vs St. John's Red Storm W 76 - 71
2019-01-13 @ Creighton Bluejays W 90 - 78
2019-01-18 vs Xavier Musketeers W 85 - 75
2019-01-22 @ Butler Bulldogs W 80 - 72
2019-01-27 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 80 - 52
2019-01-30 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 86 - 74
2019-02-03 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 77 - 65
2019-02-06 vs Creighton Bluejays W 66 - 59
2019-02-09 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 65 - 66
2019-02-13 vs Providence Friars W 85 - 67
2019-02-17 @ St. John's Red Storm L 65 - 71
2019-02-20 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 73 - 85
2019-02-24 @ Xavier Musketeers L 54 - 66
2019-02-27 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 67 - 61
2019-03-02 vs Butler Bulldogs W 75 - 54
2019-03-09 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 75 - 79
2019-03-14 vs Providence Friars W 73 - 62
2019-03-15 vs Xavier Musketeers W 71 - 67
2019-03-16 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 74 - 72
2019-03-21 vs Saint Mary's Gaels W 61 - 57
2019-03-23 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 61 - 87

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Phil Booth Phil Booth G 36 35.2 18.6 3.9 3.8 0.8 0.2 2.3 13.3 11.7 144 30 4.8 5.6 42.9 35.9 74.3 4.22 60.4 52.1
Eric Paschall Eric Paschall - 36 36.1 16.5 6.1 2.1 0.7 0.5 2.3 11.4 12.3 93 29 3.2 3.6 44.7 34.6 73.7 0.0 61.1 52.5
Collin Gillespie Collin Gillespie - 35 29.5 10.9 2.4 2.8 1.1 0.1 1.5 7.6 8.1 120 29 4.1 5.8 41.1 38.9 83.5 1.22 62.3 54.7
Saddiq Bey Saddiq Bey - 36 29.6 8.2 5.1 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.8 6.1 8.9 113 30 3.8 4.9 44.7 37.4 63.6 0.8 62.1 55.3
Jermaine Samuels Jermaine Samuels - 35 22.0 6.4 5.4 1.0 0.4 0.8 1.0 4.5 8.5 77 29 2.7 5.1 45.6 35.1 60.3 -0.67 59.9 56.0
Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree F 36 20.6 5.1 5.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.7 2.9 9.8 1 29 0.0 0.1 65.0 0 77.8 -2.34 72.2 65.0
Joe Cremo Joe Cremo G 36 16.6 4.0 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.8 3.5 3.2 105 30 3.5 8.6 36.2 33.7 64.7 1.83 53.9 48.8
Cole Swider Cole Swider - 21 9.5 3.5 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.4 3.0 2.0 4 16 0.2 1.2 37.5 28.3 63.2 -2.18 50.4 47.7
Jahvon Quinerly Jahvon Quinerly G 25 9.2 3.2 0.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.8 3.0 1.2 13 20 0.7 2.9 34.2 24.4 73.3 0.25 47.8 41.4
Dylan Painter Dylan Painter F 2 6.0 2.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 5.5 - - - - 66.7 0 25.0 - 52.5 66.7
Brandon Slater Brandon Slater F 15 3.5 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.4 -13 11 -1.2 -16.0 22.2 0.0 0.0 -3.1 20.2 22.2
Tim Delaney Tim Delaney F 8 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 -6 6 -1.0 -32.7 0 0 50.0 -2.02 56.8 0
Peyton Heck Peyton Heck G 3 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.24 0 0
Tim Saunders Tim Saunders G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG