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Villanova

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Villanova Wildcats, Villanova
Program History
Coach: Jay Wright

2018 Team Stats (33 games)

86.5
PPG
70.7
Opp
+15.8
Margin
50.0%
FG%
39.8%
3P%
79.3%
FT%
36.0
RPG
16.4
APG
10.6
TO
-
Est. poss./game
87.5
Adj PPG
64.1
Adj Opp PPG
#1
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1617 (#1) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1436 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1260 (#1) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +24.8 (#1) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +25.9 (#1) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.918 (#5) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +33.9 More → 0.981 (#1) AdjNet +33.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +34.2 More → 0.981 (#1) AdjNet +34.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 87.5 | AdjD 64.1 More → 0.894 (#1) AdjO 87.5 | AdjD 64.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 84.9 | AdjD 65.9 More → 0.849 (#1) AdjO 84.9 | AdjD 65.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.942 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.937 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 85 | GP 40 More → 1488 (#1) RD 85 | GP 40

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs Columbia Lions W 75 - 60
2017-11-14 vs Nicholls Colonels W 113 - 77
2017-11-17 vs Lafayette Leopards W 104 - 57
2017-11-22 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 66 - 58
2017-11-23 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 85 - 76
2017-11-24 vs Northern Iowa Panthers W 64 - 50
2017-11-29 vs Pennsylvania Quakers W 90 - 62
2017-12-02 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks W 94 - 53
2017-12-05 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs W 88 - 72
2017-12-10 vs La Salle Explorers W 77 - 68
2017-12-13 @ Temple Owls W 87 - 67
2017-12-22 vs Hofstra Pride W 95 - 71
2017-12-27 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 103 - 85
2017-12-30 @ Butler Bulldogs L 93 - 101
2018-01-06 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 100 - 90
2018-01-10 vs Xavier Musketeers W 89 - 65
2018-01-13 @ St. John's Red Storm W 78 - 71
2018-01-17 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 88 - 56
2018-01-20 @ UConn Huskies W 81 - 61
2018-01-23 vs Providence Friars W 89 - 69
2018-01-28 @ Marquette Golden Eagles W 85 - 82
2018-02-01 vs Creighton Bluejays W 98 - 78
2018-02-04 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 92 - 76
2018-02-07 vs St. John's Red Storm L 75 - 79
2018-02-10 vs Butler Bulldogs W 86 - 75
2018-02-14 @ Providence Friars L 71 - 76
2018-02-17 @ Xavier Musketeers W 95 - 79
2018-02-21 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 93 - 62
2018-02-24 @ Creighton Bluejays L 83 - 89
2018-02-28 @ Seton Hall Pirates W 69 - 68
2018-03-03 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 97 - 73
2018-03-08 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 94 - 70
2018-03-09 vs Butler Bulldogs W 87 - 68
2018-03-10 vs Providence Friars W 76 - 66
2018-03-15 vs Radford Highlanders W 87 - 61
2018-03-17 vs Alabama Crimson Tide W 81 - 58
2018-03-23 vs West Virginia Mountaineers W 90 - 78
2018-03-25 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders W 71 - 59
2018-03-31 vs Kansas Jayhawks W 95 - 79
2018-04-02 vs Michigan Wolverines W 79 - 62

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jalen Brunson Jalen Brunson - 40 31.8 18.9 3.0 4.6 0.9 0.0 1.8 11.6 14.1 - - - - 51.9 40.6 82.8 - 71.3 60.3
Mikal Bridges Mikal Bridges - 40 32.1 17.6 5.3 1.9 1.5 1.1 1.4 10.1 16.0 - - - - 51.0 43.3 86.7 - 77.3 61.9
Donte DiVincenzo Donte DiVincenzo - 40 29.2 13.4 4.8 3.5 1.1 0.2 2.0 8.6 12.4 - - - - 47.4 39.7 72.2 - 70.4 58.3
Omari Spellman Omari Spellman - 40 28.1 10.8 8.0 0.8 0.7 1.5 1.0 7.4 13.3 - - - - 49.7 44.6 68.8 - 66.9 60.1
Eric Paschall Eric Paschall - 38 29.8 10.6 5.3 2.2 0.9 0.6 1.7 6.2 11.7 - - - - 56.1 38.9 80.8 - 74.1 63.5
Phil Booth Phil Booth G 33 27.4 10.0 3.2 2.9 0.8 0.2 1.4 6.1 9.6 - - - - 42.6 36.9 82.4 - 71.4 53.7
Collin Gillespie Collin Gillespie - 32 14.4 4.2 1.3 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.4 2.8 4.0 - - - - 45.1 39.1 76.9 - 66.4 59.9
Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree F 40 11.3 3.1 2.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.6 4.1 - - - - 78.5 0 65.4 - 81.1 78.5
Jermaine Samuels Jermaine Samuels - 23 6.7 1.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.3 - - - - 16.0 13.3 50.0 - 45.9 20.0
Matt Kennedy Matt Kennedy G 11 1.5 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Denny Grace Denny Grace G 14 1.4 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 - - - - 33.3 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Tim Delaney Tim Delaney F 20 2.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 - - - - 16.7 20.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Tom Leibig Tom Leibig F 14 1.6 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 - - - - 20.0 0.0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Peyton Heck Peyton Heck G 10 1.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG