Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.2% | 89.8% | +12.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +19 (87-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerald Gillens-Butler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kelan Martin * | 37 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Kamar Baldwin * | 34 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Sean McDermott * | 24 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Aaron Thompson * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Wideman * | 12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Paul Jorgensen | 22 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Nate Fowler | 19 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Henry Baddley | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Joey Brunk | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Christian David | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Campbell Donovan | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Booth * | 29 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Omari Spellman * | 28 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Eric Paschall * | 27 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Mikal Bridges * | 25 | 7-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Jalen Brunson * | 24 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 28 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Collin Gillespie | 24 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jermaine Samuels | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tom Leibig | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tim Delaney | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter