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2018-02-07

Model Predictions

Model St. John's Red Storm Villanova Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 4.6% 95.4% +20.5 โœ— (24.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 9.9% 90.1% - โœ—
Margin 3.4% 96.6% +18.4 โœ— (22.4 off)
Pythagorean 31.5% 68.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 1.3% 98.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 1.3% 98.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 16.2% 83.8% - โœ—

Actual: Villanova Wildcats -4 (75-79). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shamorie Ponds * 40 8-20 2-5 8-9 5 5 2 0 2 26 16 -
Justin Simon * 39 6-14 1-3 3-4 10 7 2 1 1 16 21 -
Tariq Owens * 39 3-5 0-0 3-6 9 0 0 2 1 9 14 -
Marvin Clark II * 37 5-8 2-4 3-3 6 1 0 0 1 15 13 -
Bashir Ahmed * 31 4-7 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 3 10 1 -
Bryan Trimble 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donte DiVincenzo * 38 5-14 0-5 1-1 4 2 1 0 4 11 0 -
Mikal Bridges * 38 5-12 1-5 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 11 3 -
Jalen Brunson * 37 8-21 2-11 10-11 3 3 1 0 1 28 13 -
Omari Spellman * 35 5-12 1-6 0-0 12 0 1 1 2 11 11 -
Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree * 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Collin Gillespie 30 4-6 4-6 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 12 12 -
Jermaine Samuels 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 0 5 -

* = starter