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2017-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Pennsylvania Quakers Villanova Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 5.5% 94.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 10.7% 89.3% - โœ“
Margin 1.2% 98.8% +24.4 โœ“ (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 11.0% 89.0% - โœ“

Actual: Villanova Wildcats +28 (90-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Betley * 34 4-14 3-8 0-0 8 1 0 1 1 11 6 -
AJ Brodeur * 32 6-8 0-1 3-4 7 1 1 2 1 15 17 -
Darnell Foreman * 32 5-13 0-2 3-4 5 3 0 0 3 13 5 -
Max Rothschild * 25 2-2 0-0 2-2 4 2 1 0 3 6 8 -
Antonio Woods * 24 2-7 0-2 0-0 0 4 1 0 1 4 1 -
Jackson Donahue 14 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
Eddie Scott 12 0-3 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Devon Goodman 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Jarrod Simmons 8 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
Matt MacDonald 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jake Silpe 2 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Caleb Wood 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Sam Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 31 5-10 1-3 3-4 6 1 1 1 0 14 13 -
Omari Spellman * 31 6-12 2-3 0-1 7 1 0 3 1 14 12 -
Jalen Brunson * 26 6-7 2-2 3-3 2 4 1 0 0 17 17 -
Phil Booth * 24 5-9 0-2 4-4 1 3 3 0 0 14 12 -
Eric Paschall * 23 3-6 0-1 3-3 2 2 2 0 3 9 6 -
Donte DiVincenzo 27 4-8 2-3 2-2 7 4 0 0 1 12 14 -
Collin Gillespie 16 1-3 0-1 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 3 2 -
Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 4 4 -
Jermaine Samuels 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Matt Kennedy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tom Leibig 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tim Delaney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Peyton Heck 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Denny Grace 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter