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Villanova

Also known as: Villanova Wildcats, Villanova
Program History

2013 Team Stats (7 games)

67.3
PPG
67.3
Opp
+0.0
Margin
41.1%
FG%
31.0%
3P%
70.9%
FT%
34.7
RPG
12.1
APG
14.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
70.3
Adj PPG
61.1
Adj Opp PPG
#54
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1307 (#33) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1172 (#61) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1046 (#102) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +10.1 (#54) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +11.5 (#36) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.595 (#122) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +15.5 More โ†’ 0.856 (#55) AdjNet +15.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +15.7 More โ†’ 0.859 (#55) AdjNet +15.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 61.1 More โ†’ 0.699 (#54) AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 61.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 61.3 More โ†’ 0.641 (#50) AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 61.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.749 (#56) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.739 (#58) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1179 (#62) RD 112 | GP 33

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs District of Columbia Firebirds W 78 - 58
2012-11-11 vs Marshall Thundering Herd W 80 - 68
2012-11-15 @ Purdue Boilermakers W 89 - 81
2012-11-16 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 55 - 77
2012-11-20 vs Columbia Lions L 57 - 75
2012-11-25 @ La Salle Explorers L 74 - 77
2012-12-01 @ Vanderbilt Commodores W 62 - 52
2012-12-05 vs Temple Owls L 61 - 76
2012-12-08 @ Pennsylvania Quakers W 68 - 55
2012-12-11 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 65 - 61
2012-12-16 vs Delaware Blue Hens W 75 - 65
2012-12-22 @ Monmouth Hawks W 83 - 56
2012-12-28 vs NJIT Highlanders W 70 - 60
2013-01-02 vs St. John's Red Storm W 98 - 86
2013-01-09 @ South Florida Bulls W 61 - 53
2013-01-12 @ Syracuse Orange L 61 - 72
2013-01-16 vs Pittsburgh Panthers L 43 - 58
2013-01-19 @ Providence Friars L 66 - 69
2013-01-22 vs Louisville Cardinals W 73 - 64
2013-01-26 vs Syracuse Orange W 75 - 71
2013-01-30 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 60 - 65
2013-02-03 vs Providence Friars L 52 - 55
2013-02-05 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 94 - 71
2013-02-09 vs South Florida Bulls W 68 - 40
2013-02-12 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 50 - 68
2013-02-16 @ UConn Huskies W 70 - 61
2013-02-18 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 71 - 63
2013-02-23 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 60 - 56
2013-02-25 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 65 - 66
2013-03-03 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 64 - 73
2013-03-06 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 67 - 57
2013-03-13 vs St. John's Red Storm W 66 - 53
2013-03-14 @ Louisville Cardinals L 55 - 74
2013-03-22 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 71 - 78

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
JayVaughn Pinkston JayVaughn Pinkston F 34 26.1 13.3 5.0 1.7 1.0 0.5 2.5 3.6 15.4 88 31 2.8 4.7 42.1 13.3 75.3 3.26 139.9 43.0
Ryan Arcidiacono Ryan Arcidiacono G 34 34.0 11.9 2.1 3.5 1.1 0.0 2.8 3.6 12.3 53 31 1.7 2.2 32.2 32.1 82.8 0.35 135.8 43.4
Darrun Hilliard Darrun Hilliard G 34 29.9 11.4 2.8 1.6 1.6 0.3 1.9 3.5 12.3 51 31 1.6 2.4 43.7 27.3 77.0 1.38 127.3 50.0
Mouphtaou Yarou Mouphtaou Yarou F 34 28.1 9.9 7.8 0.9 0.6 0.6 1.6 3.2 15.1 19 31 0.6 0.9 55.0 0 69.6 -0.18 130.8 55.0
James Bell James Bell G 34 28.5 8.6 4.2 1.4 1.1 0.4 2.0 2.2 11.6 89 31 2.9 4.3 35.1 29.4 80.0 3.98 171.8 45.3
Tony Chennault Tony Chennault G 34 18.5 3.6 1.8 1.5 0.9 0.0 1.4 1.4 4.9 -17 31 -0.5 -1.3 34.8 20.0 41.2 -2.11 113.1 35.9
Daniel Ochefu Daniel Ochefu F 34 17.5 3.5 4.1 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.1 7.3 10 31 0.3 0.8 40.5 0 71.4 -0.34 128.7 40.5
Maurice Sutton Maurice Sutton F-C 31 9.5 3.2 2.7 0.4 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.5 6.1 1 27 0.0 0.2 41.2 0 55.6 -1.81 198.6 41.2
Ash Yacoubou Ash Yacoubou G 31 12.0 2.9 2.6 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.9 0.8 4.7 15 27 0.6 2.0 46.2 52.6 0.0 -0.37 169.3 65.4
Patrick Farrell Patrick Farrell F 2 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 50.0 -1.11 56.8 0
Mislav Brzoja Mislav Brzoja G 14 2.9 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.5 -17 12 -1.4 -22.5 0.0 0.0 100.0 -3.46 53.2 0.0
Nick McMahon Nick McMahon G 3 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 0.18 0 0
Henry Lowe Henry Lowe G 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.07 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG