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2013-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 40.0% 60.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.5% 66.5% - โœ“
Margin 13.1% 86.9% +10.4 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 8.9% 91.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 8.7% 91.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.5% 71.5% - โœ“

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers +9 (73-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Arcidiacono * 41 6-14 5-8 6-6 3 4 0 0 3 23 13 -
JayVaughn Pinkston * 40 3-11 0-1 7-10 5 2 2 4 2 13 13 -
Mouphtaou Yarou * 37 7-9 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 0 1 14 14 -
James Bell * 33 1-7 1-7 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 3 1 -
Darrun Hilliard * 31 1-8 0-4 4-5 3 1 1 0 1 6 2 -
Tony Chennault 29 2-4 0-0 1-5 4 4 1 0 0 5 10 -
Daniel Ochefu 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 3 0 0 5 -
Maurice Sutton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ash Yacoubou 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Travon Woodall * 38 4-11 1-4 4-5 3 11 0 0 4 13 12 -
Talib Zanna * 37 4-8 0-0 6-7 19 0 1 2 1 14 27 -
Lamar Patterson * 36 3-7 0-4 2-2 1 2 0 0 3 8 1 -
James Robinson * 29 4-6 2-2 4-6 2 2 0 0 1 14 11 -
Dante Taylor * 24 3-7 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 2 1 7 7 -
J.J. Moore 19 2-8 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 0 -
Durand Johnson 16 3-3 3-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 9 9 -
Trey Zeigler 16 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
Cameron Wright 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter