Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.8% | 57.2% | +1.6 | ✓ (20.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +22 (77-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Arcidiacono * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| JayVaughn Pinkston * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| James Bell * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Darrun Hilliard * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Mouphtaou Yarou * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Tony Chennault | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Daniel Ochefu | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Ash Yacoubou | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Maurice Sutton | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Mislav Brzoja | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levi Randolph * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | - |
| Trevor Releford * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 29 | - |
| Rodney Cooper * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Trevor Lacey * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Moussa Gueye * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Devonta Pollard | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Nick Jacobs | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Retin Obasohan | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Andrew Steele | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Carl Engstrom | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter