Model Predictions
| Model | St. John's Red Storm | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.2% | 81.8% | +8.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +12 (98-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Harrison * | 44 | 11-21 | 6-12 | 8-11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 20 | - |
| P. Greene IV * | 35 | 6-16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 | - |
| C. Obekpa * | 33 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | - |
| J. Sampson * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Branch * | 23 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | - |
| A. Garrett | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| S. Pointer | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | - |
| F. Balamou | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Bourgault | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Arcidiacono * | 39 | 7-15 | 7-13 | 11-13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 19 | - |
| Darrun Hilliard * | 33 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 7-7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| James Bell * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Mouphtaou Yarou * | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Maurice Sutton * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| JayVaughn Pinkston | 28 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 9-13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Tony Chennault | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Ash Yacoubou | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Daniel Ochefu | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
* = starter