Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.8% | 75.2% | +6.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +7 (78-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Sutton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mouphtaou Yarou * | 36 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Darrun Hilliard * | 36 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| JayVaughn Pinkston * | 34 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Ryan Arcidiacono * | 33 | 2-11 | 1-8 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| James Bell * | 30 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tony Chennault | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Daniel Ochefu | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Bullock * | 36 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| J. McAdoo * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Marcus Paige * | 32 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| P.J. Hairston * | 30 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Dexter Strickland * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Leslie McDonald | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jackson Simmons | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Desmond Hubert | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brice Johnson | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Luke Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter