Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Efficiency | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +7 (78-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sutton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Yarou * | 36 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| D. Hilliard * | 36 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| J. Pinkston * | 34 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 10 | - |
| R. Arcidiacono * | 33 | 2-11 | 1-8 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. Bell * | 30 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Chennault | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Ochefu | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bullock Jr. * | 36 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| J. McAdoo * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 8 | - |
| M. Paige * | 32 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| P.J. Hairston * | 30 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 23 | - |
| D. Strickland * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. McDonald | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Simmons | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| D. Hubert | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Johnson | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter