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Villanova

Also known as: Villanova Wildcats, Villanova
Program History

2006 Team Stats (29 games)

75.4
PPG
63.8
Opp
+11.6
Margin
42.6%
FG%
38.7%
3P%
75.1%
FT%
36.2
RPG
12.6
APG
11.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
76.2
Adj PPG
59.5
Adj Opp PPG
#6
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1414 (#6) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1395 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +97 elo More โ†’ 1183 (#8) HCA +97 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ +17.9 (#5) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +15.2 (#13) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.849 (#12) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +27.9 More โ†’ 0.962 (#6) AdjNet +27.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +28.3 More โ†’ 0.963 (#6) AdjNet +28.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 59.5 More โ†’ 0.821 (#6) AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 59.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 61.3 More โ†’ 0.716 (#14) AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 61.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.887 (#7) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.874 (#8) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 94 | GP 33 More โ†’ 1418 (#1) RD 94 | GP 33

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2005-11-18 vs Stony Brook Seawolves W 78 - 35
2005-11-27 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks W 84 - 47
2005-11-30 vs Rider Broncs W 86 - 57
2005-12-03 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 85 - 74
2005-12-06 @ Bucknell Bison W 79 - 60
2005-12-10 vs Longwood Lancers W 90 - 77
2005-12-13 @ Pennsylvania Quakers W 62 - 55
2005-12-22 vs La Salle Explorers W 98 - 57
2005-12-31 @ Temple Owls W 75 - 53
2006-01-05 @ Louisville Cardinals W 76 - 67
2006-01-08 vs West Virginia Mountaineers L 87 - 91
2006-01-11 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 84 - 78
2006-01-14 @ Texas Longhorns L 55 - 58
2006-01-17 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 73 - 64
2006-01-21 vs Syracuse Orange W 80 - 65
2006-01-24 @ South Florida Bulls W 49 - 46
2006-01-28 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 72 - 70
2006-01-30 vs Louisville Cardinals W 79 - 73
2006-02-04 vs Marquette Golden Eagles W 72 - 67
2006-02-07 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 71 - 58
2006-02-11 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 61 - 51
2006-02-13 vs UConn Huskies W 69 - 64
2006-02-19 vs Georgetown Hoyas W 75 - 65
2006-02-23 @ Cincinnati Bearcats W 74 - 72
2006-02-26 @ UConn Huskies L 75 - 89
2006-03-01 vs St. John's Red Storm W 65 - 52
2006-03-05 @ Syracuse Orange W 92 - 82
2006-03-09 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 87 - 55
2006-03-10 vs Pittsburgh Panthers L 54 - 68
2006-03-17 vs Monmouth Hawks W 58 - 45
2006-03-19 vs Arizona Wildcats W 82 - 78
2006-03-24 vs Boston College Eagles W 60 - 59
2006-03-26 vs Florida Gators L 62 - 75

2006 Roster

No roster data available for this season.